05/14/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/15/2026, 1:35:47 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 28:40
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2772167687?t=02h20m08s @ 8408s
Balance Analysis
Based on 140 prior matchesORDER
45% win prob
Δ 34
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
55% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond II
JUNGLE
Gold II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 66 · 59% favored
C1prY
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Amber I
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
Horrify
OVR
Dog Shit I
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 83 · 62% favored
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Silver III
MID
Silver II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Jonhy0700
OVR
Dog Shit I
SOLO
Bronze III
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 16 · 52% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Bronze I
SUPPORT
Lala
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 162 · 72% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Obsidian II
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +33.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Odin | 5 | 4 | 15 | 129 | +2.9 | 132 | 140 |
| ADC | i cant read | Apollo | 13 | 6 | 15 | 15 | +2.8 | 18 | 26 |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone TOP DMG | Agni | 7 | 1 | 24 | -93 | +17.8 | -75 | 76 |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | Sol | 13 | 4 | 12 | -18 | +3.8 | -14 | 131 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Lala | Yemoja | 4 | 4 | 25 | 0 | +5.7 | 6 | 0 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Lala | rookie | |
| MID | ELLEONTTV | Silver III | Silver II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | i cant read | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | C1prY | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Dog Shit I | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Dog Shit I | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Obsidian II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- Lala: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- ELLEONTTV: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SOLO
- RogueThrone: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID