ORDER WIN
UPSET
05/14/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/15/2026, 1:35:47 PM
Kills
42 – 19
MVP · best KDA
RogueThrone 7/1/24
Biggest Elo gain
RogueThrone +17.8
Biggest Elo drop
Riptzer -4.6
Balance Analysis
Based on 140 prior matchesORDER
45% win prob
Δ 34
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
55% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond II
JUNGLE
Gold II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 66 · 59% favored
C1prY
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Amber I
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
Horrify
OVR
Dog Shit I
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 83 · 62% favored
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Silver III
MID
Silver II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Jonhy0700
OVR
Dog Shit I
SOLO
Bronze III
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 16 · 52% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Bronze I
SUPPORT
Lala
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 162 · 72% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Obsidian II
ORDER (WIN) 42 kills Team Δ +33.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 5/4/15 | 5.00 | 129 | ▲ +2.9 | 132 | 140 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 13/6/15 | 4.67 | 15 | ▲ +2.8 | 18 | 26 | |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone MVP TOP DMG | 7/1/24 | 31.00 | -93 | ▲ +17.8 | -75 | 76 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | 13/4/12 | 6.25 | -18 | ▲ +3.8 | -14 | 131 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | Lala | 4/4/25 | 7.25 | 0 | ▲ +5.7 | 6 | 0 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Lala | rookie | |
| MID | ELLEONTTV | Silver III | Silver II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | i cant read | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | C1prY | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Dog Shit I | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Dog Shit I | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Obsidian II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- Lala: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- ELLEONTTV: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SOLO
- RogueThrone: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID