05/11/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/12/2026, 1:14:04 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 25:58
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2769813660?t=03h23m01s @ 12181s
Balance Analysis
Based on 135 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 14
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
OSteg
OVR
Amber III
JUNGLE
Amber II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 14 · 52% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber III
JUNGLE
Poo Poo II
ADC
Draiden
OVR
Gold III
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 14 · 52% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
ADC
Amber I
MID
Suhlayer
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 26 · 54% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber II
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
TheBugOnYou
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
JohnRowing
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Amber II
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Obsidian II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 158 · 71% favored
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Silver I
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +28.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | OSteg | Awilix | 12 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3.0 | 7 | 57 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Draiden C | Jing Wei | 8 | 4 | 6 | 59 | +2.3 | 61 | 11 |
| MID | Suhlayer TOP DMG | Kukulkan | 6 | 1 | 12 | 20 | +11.3 | 31 | 5 |
| SOLO | TheBugOnYou | Artio | 5 | 2 | 17 | 35 | +7.9 | 43 | 4 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Ishtar | 10 | 4 | 14 | 161 | +4.2 | 165 | 92 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -26.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | Hun Batz | 4 | 11 | 4 | 5 | -8.6 | -4 | 126 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Anhur | 5 | 7 | 6 | 136 | -2.0 | 134 | 135 |
| MID SECONDARY | iRoFFLe | Hecate | 2 | 8 | 7 | 7 | -5.9 | 1 | 21 |
| SOLO | JohnRowing | Bacchus | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -6.6 | 4 | 15 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | ELLEONTTV C | Aphrodite | 2 | 7 | 8 | 49 | -3.5 | 46 | 14 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | TheBugOnYou | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Suhlayer | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber III | Bronze II |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Amber II | Amber I PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Gold III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | JohnRowing | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | ELLEONTTV | Silver I | Silver I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Amber III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- TheBugOnYou: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Suhlayer: ORDER MID → ORDER ADC
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- OSteg: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- Draiden: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- ELLEONTTV: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- JohnRowing: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- Jonhy0700 [shitter]: bottom dmg of the entire game