04/16/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 7:42:06 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 24:16
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2749829322?t=0h57m50s @ 3470s
Balance Analysis
Based on 9 prior matchesORDER
48% win prob
Δ 11
Balanced
CHAOS
52% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Kryooo
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 11 · 52% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
OSteg
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 2 · 50% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 15 · 52% favored
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Horrify
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 31 · 54% favored
KingSaber
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
sillyslother
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber I PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
SpideryBacchus9
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber II PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +30.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo TOP DMG | Tsukuyomi | 9 | 3 | 12 | 0 | +5.6 | 6 | 5 |
| ADC THIRD | OSteg C | Artemis | 7 | 5 | 8 | -11 | +2.4 | -9 | 7 |
| MID SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 | Janus | 5 | 1 | 11 | -29 | +12.6 | -16 | 9 |
| SOLO NEW | Horrify | Gilgamesh | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | +1.8 | 2 | 0 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | sillyslother | Sylvanus | 2 | 2 | 14 | 21 | +8.5 | 29 | 3 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -30.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Princess Bari | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | -3.2 | -4 | 9 |
| ADC | RogueThrone C | Hou Yi | 7 | 6 | 0 | -8 | -4.6 | -13 | 3 |
| MID NEW | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Xbalanque | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | -4.3 | -2 | 2 |
| SOLO | KingSaber | Cabrakan | 4 | 6 | 7 | 31 | -3.4 | 28 | 5 |
| SUPPORT NEW | SpideryBacchus9 | Ares | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 | -15.4 | -6 | 2 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | SpideryBacchus9 | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | OSteg | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | KingSaber | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Horrify | rookie | |
What changed vs actual draft
- OSteg: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- SpideryBacchus9: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SOLO
- sillyslother: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- Kryooo: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Horrify: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- KingSaber: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC