04/17/2026 · Match #15 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2749829322?t=0h57m50s @ 3470s
Balance Analysis
Based on 12 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 7
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +96.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Sylvanus | 2 | 2 | 14 | 54 | +21.0 | 74 | 6 |
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | Tsukuyomi | 9 | 3 | 12 | 17 | +19.7 | 36 | 8 |
| SOLO NEW | Horrify | Gilgamesh | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | +13.5 | 14 | 0 |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Janus | 5 | 1 | 11 | -49 | +24.5 | -25 | 11 |
| ADC THIRD | OSteg | Artemis | 7 | 5 | 8 | 12 | +17.7 | 30 | 7 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -62.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Princess Bari | 4 | 4 | 4 | -8 | -13.5 | -22 | 12 |
| ADC SECONDARY | RogueThrone | Hou Yi | 7 | 6 | 0 | -11 | -11.4 | -22 | 5 |
| SUPPORT NEW | SpideryBacchus9 | Ares | 0 | 8 | 1 | 11 | -11.2 | 0 | 2 |
| MID NEW | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Xbalanque | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -13.0 | -6 | 2 |
| SOLO | KingSaber | Cabrakan | 4 | 6 | 7 | 71 | -13.3 | 58 | 7 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | 54 |
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | -8 |
| SOLO | KingSaber | 71 |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | -49 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | -11 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT | SpideryBacchus9 | 11 |
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | 17 |
| SOLO | Horrify | rookie |
| MID | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | 7 |
| ADC | OSteg | 12 |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
- KingSaber: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- RogueThrone: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC