05/10/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/11/2026, 1:31:40 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 37:08
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2769087560?t=03h07m20s @ 11240s
Balance Analysis
Based on 130 prior matchesORDER
42% win prob
Δ 54
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
58% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Kryooo
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Bronze I
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 59 · 58% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Platinum III
ADC
Horrify
OVR
Dog Shit II
ADC
Amber II PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 53 · 58% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber I
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Silver III
MID
Silver III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 41 · 56% favored
Ronaldinho
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Dog Shit I
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 41 · 56% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold I
SOLO
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
GTboss94
OVR
Dog Shit II
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 18 · 53% favored
BiggieSlaps
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +34.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Kryooo | Gilgamesh | 8 | 7 | 13 | 72 | +9.6 | 81 | 68 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Horrify | Zeus | 9 | 10 | 8 | -23 | +5.6 | -17 | 33 |
| MID | ELLEONTTV | Izanami | 9 | 10 | 16 | 41 | +7.9 | 49 | 13 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | RogueThrone C | Achilles | 6 | 5 | 5 | -99 | +7.0 | -92 | 73 |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | Athena | 4 | 13 | 11 | -21 | +4.5 | -16 | 12 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -28.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Anhur | 7 | 9 | 20 | 154 | -8.8 | 145 | 130 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Cupid | 15 | 10 | 4 | 12 | -5.9 | 6 | 121 |
| MID NEW | Ronaldinho TOP DMG | Agni | 10 | 6 | 20 | 0 | -5.2 | -5 | 0 |
| SOLO THIRD | Boolougames C | Thor | 7 | 5 | 18 | 82 | -4.6 | 77 | 52 |
| SUPPORT | BiggieSlaps | Cerberus | 6 | 6 | 23 | -8 | -4.2 | -13 | 4 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ELLEONTTV | Silver III | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Dog Shit II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | Dog Shit II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | BiggieSlaps | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Ronaldinho | rookie | |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold I | Platinum III |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Amber I | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Gold II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- ELLEONTTV: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Kryooo: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- BiggieSlaps: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
- Ronaldinho: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- Ronaldinho [weak3n_said]: why did my agni keep chasing when we called him off 4 times?