ORDER WIN
UPSET
05/10/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/11/2026, 1:31:40 PM
Kills
36 – 45
MVP · best KDA
Boolougames 7/5/18
Biggest Elo gain
Kryooo +9.6
Biggest Elo drop
Weak3n -8.8
Balance Analysis
Based on 130 prior matchesORDER
42% win prob
Δ 54
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
58% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Kryooo
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Bronze I
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 59 · 58% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Platinum III
ADC
Horrify
OVR
Dog Shit II
ADC
Amber II PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 53 · 58% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber I
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Silver III
MID
Silver III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 41 · 56% favored
Ronaldinho
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Dog Shit I
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 41 · 56% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold I
SOLO
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
GTboss94
OVR
Dog Shit II
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 18 · 53% favored
BiggieSlaps
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 36 kills Team Δ +34.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Kryooo | 8/7/13 | 3.00 | 72 | ▲ +9.6 | 81 | 68 | |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Horrify | 9/10/8 | 1.70 | -23 | ▲ +5.6 | -17 | 33 | |
| MID | ELLEONTTV | 9/10/16 | 2.50 | 41 | ▲ +7.9 | 49 | 13 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | RogueThrone C | 6/5/5 | 2.20 | -100 | ▲ +7.0 | -92 | 73 | |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | 4/13/11 | 1.15 | -21 | ▲ +4.5 | -16 | 12 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 45 kills Team Δ -28.7
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 7/9/20 | 3.00 | 154 | ▼ -8.8 | 145 | 130 | |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 | 15/10/4 | 1.90 | 12 | ▼ -5.9 | 6 | 121 | |
| MID NEW | Ronaldinho TOP DMG | 10/6/20 | 5.00 | 0 | ▼ -5.2 | -5 | 0 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Boolougames MVP C | 7/5/18 | 5.00 | 82 | ▼ -4.6 | 77 | 52 | |
| SUPPORT | BiggieSlaps | 6/6/23 | 4.83 | -8 | ▼ -4.2 | -13 | 4 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ELLEONTTV | Silver III | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Dog Shit II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | Dog Shit II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | BiggieSlaps | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Ronaldinho | rookie | |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold I | Platinum III |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Amber I | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Gold II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- ELLEONTTV: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Kryooo: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- BiggieSlaps: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
- Ronaldinho: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- Ronaldinho [weak3n_said]: why did my agni keep chasing when we called him off 4 times?