ORDER WIN
F6 by CHAOS
05/10/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/11/2026, 12:57:59 PM
Balance Analysis
Based on 128 prior matchesORDER
53% win prob
Δ 18
Balanced
CHAOS
47% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Platinum III
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 47 · 57% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Platinum III
JUNGLE
Silver III
ADC
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber I
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 110 · 65% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold II
ADC
Gold III
MID
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Bronze I
MID
Bronze I PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 73 · 60% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum II
MID
Platinum I
SOLO
Hydra
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 17 · 52% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Dog Shit I
SUPPORT
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze I
SUPPORT
Bronze II PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 42 · 56% favored
Horrify
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Dog Shit I
ORDER (WIN) 25 kills Team Δ +28.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n STOMPER | 3/1/14 | 17.00 | 150 | ▲ +6.3 | 157 | 128 | |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 STOMPER | 6/4/10 | 4.00 | 16 | ▲ +1.7 | 17 | 119 | |
| MID | ELLEONTTV C STOMPER | 9/2/8 | 8.50 | 29 | ▲ +3.4 | 32 | 11 | |
| SOLO NEW | Hydra MVP STOMPER | 2/1/18 | 20.00 | 9 | ▲ +9.2 | 18 | 1 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | AlphaClaps STOMPER | 5/1/12 | 17.00 | 30 | ▲ +7.8 | 38 | 42 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 9 kills Team Δ -24.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Kryooo F6er | 2/4/1 | 0.75 | 87 | ▼ -6.0 | 81 | 66 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | ItzStallone F6er | 3/4/0 | 0.75 | 70 | ▼ -5.2 | 65 | 29 | |
| MID | Boolougames TOP DMG F6er | 2/3/4 | 2.00 | 93 | ▼ -2.4 | 90 | 50 | |
| SOLO THIRD | RogueThrone F6er | 1/6/2 | 0.50 | -97 | ▼ -4.4 | -102 | 71 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Horrify C F6er | 1/8/4 | 0.63 | -12 | ▼ -6.0 | -18 | 31 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ELLEONTTV | Bronze I | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Poo Poo III | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Bronze I | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Hydra | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Gold II | Gold III |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum II | Platinum I |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit I |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Platinum III | Silver III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- ELLEONTTV: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jonhy0700: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- AlphaClaps: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- Horrify: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Hydra: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT