05/07/2026 · Match #6 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/8/2026, 12:16:43 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 37:49
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2766670259?t=03h51m16s @ 13876s
Balance Analysis
Based on 123 prior matchesORDER
47% win prob
Δ 24
Balanced
CHAOS
53% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Sink
OVR
Amber I
JUNGLE
Amber II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 7 · 51% favored
BongRipErik
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
OSteg
OVR
Amber III
ADC
Poo Poo II
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo III
ADC
Poo Poo III
MID
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
MID
Bronze III
SOLO
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Bronze III
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
timerrr
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Boolougames
OVR
Diamond III
SUPPORT
Silver II PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 89 · 62% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond II
SUPPORT
Diamond I
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -18.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Sink C | Tsukuyomi | 6 | 8 | 10 | 10 | -2.0 | 8 | 12 |
| ADC SECONDARY | OSteg | Cupid | 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | -8.3 | -5 | 51 |
| MID SECONDARY | ELLEONTTV | Yemoja | 9 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -1.4 | 19 | 9 |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Osiris | 4 | 9 | 4 | 15 | -4.5 | 11 | 115 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Boolougames | Sobek | 3 | 9 | 12 | 111 | -1.9 | 109 | 47 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +27.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | BongRipErik | Nemesis | 5 | 8 | 18 | 0 | +2.5 | 2 | 0 |
| ADC | i cant read | Rama | 11 | 4 | 12 | -13 | +5.2 | -7 | 17 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Scylla | 8 | 7 | 15 | 145 | +2.9 | 148 | 123 |
| SOLO | timerrr C TOP DMG | Achilles | 12 | 3 | 15 | 24 | +8.4 | 32 | 4 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Cerberus | 4 | 3 | 19 | 123 | +8.9 | 131 | 85 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber III | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Sink | Amber I | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | ELLEONTTV | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Amber I | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Diamond II | Diamond I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | timerrr | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Diamond III | Diamond III |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | BongRipErik | rookie | |
What changed vs actual draft
- OSteg: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Sink: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Boolougames: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SOLO
- timerrr: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- BongRipErik: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE