ORDER WIN
05/07/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/8/2026, 11:44:21 AM
Kills
18 – 19
MVP · best KDA
AlphaClaps 4/1/7
Biggest Elo gain
AlphaClaps +12.8
Biggest Elo drop
Jonhy0700 -7.5
Balance Analysis
Based on 119 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 31
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
46% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 72% Order / 28% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
leoorchild
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 2 · 50% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze II
JUNGLE
Amber III
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Gold II
ADC
Bronze II
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
ADC
Bronze III
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Diamond III
MID
Diamond II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 137 · 69% favored
TramboneKing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
AlphaClaps
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Bronze III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 17 · 52% favored
Blhyss
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond II
SUPPORT
Diamond I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 112 · 66% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Silver III
SUPPORT
Bronze III
ORDER (WIN) 18 kills Team Δ +27.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | leoorchild | 4/9/4 | 0.89 | 14 | ▲ +1.6 | 16 | 7 | |
| ADC | Kryooo | 4/3/6 | 3.33 | 70 | ▲ +3.5 | 73 | 61 | |
| MID | Boolougames TOP DMG | 5/3/11 | 5.33 | 118 | ▲ +5.6 | 124 | 43 | |
| SOLO | AlphaClaps MVP | 4/1/7 | 11.00 | 11 | ▲ +12.8 | 23 | 36 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | 1/3/7 | 2.67 | 122 | ▲ +3.8 | 126 | 81 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 19 kills Team Δ -21.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | 5/6/8 | 2.17 | 25 | ▼ -7.5 | 18 | 111 | |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | 4/4/6 | 2.50 | 137 | ▼ -3.3 | 134 | 119 | |
| MID SECONDARY | TramboneKing C | 6/4/4 | 2.50 | -13 | ▼ -6.2 | -19 | 8 | |
| SOLO | Blhyss | 3/2/3 | 3.00 | -6 | ▼ -2.6 | -9 | 8 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | DeltaJulz613 | 1/2/12 | 6.50 | 36 | ▼ -1.8 | 35 | 35 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | DeltaJulz613 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | AlphaClaps | Amber I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| MID | leoorchild | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Gold II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Blhyss | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | TramboneKing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Diamond III | Diamond II |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Bronze II | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Diamond II | Diamond I |
What changed vs actual draft
- leoorchild: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- AlphaClaps: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SOLO
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- Blhyss: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- TramboneKing: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO