05/07/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/8/2026, 11:44:21 AM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 26:59
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2766670259?t=01h11m39s @ 4299s
Balance Analysis
Based on 119 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 31
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
46% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
leoorchild
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 2 · 50% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze II
JUNGLE
Amber III
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Gold II
ADC
Bronze II
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
ADC
Bronze III
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Diamond III
MID
Diamond II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 137 · 69% favored
TramboneKing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
AlphaClaps
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Bronze III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 17 · 52% favored
Blhyss
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond II
SUPPORT
Diamond I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 112 · 66% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Silver III
SUPPORT
Bronze III
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +27.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | leoorchild | Pele | 4 | 9 | 4 | 14 | +1.6 | 16 | 7 |
| ADC | Kryooo | Apollo | 4 | 3 | 6 | 70 | +3.5 | 73 | 61 |
| MID | Boolougames TOP DMG | Discordia | 5 | 3 | 11 | 118 | +5.6 | 124 | 43 |
| SOLO | AlphaClaps | Odin | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +12.8 | 23 | 36 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | Sylvanus | 1 | 3 | 7 | 122 | +3.8 | 126 | 81 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -21.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | Thor | 5 | 6 | 8 | 25 | -7.5 | 18 | 111 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Medusa | 4 | 4 | 6 | 137 | -3.3 | 134 | 119 |
| MID SECONDARY | TramboneKing C | Scylla | 6 | 4 | 4 | -13 | -6.2 | -19 | 8 |
| SOLO | Blhyss | Achilles | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | -2.6 | -9 | 8 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | DeltaJulz613 | Bacchus | 1 | 2 | 12 | 36 | -1.8 | 35 | 35 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | DeltaJulz613 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | AlphaClaps | Amber I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| MID | leoorchild | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Gold II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Blhyss | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | TramboneKing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Diamond III | Diamond II |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Bronze II | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Diamond II | Diamond I |
What changed vs actual draft
- leoorchild: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- AlphaClaps: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SOLO
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- Blhyss: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- TramboneKing: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO