05/06/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/7/2026, 1:00:17 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 25:11
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2765898749?t=00h20m49s @ 1249s
Balance Analysis
Based on 112 prior matchesORDER
48% win prob
Δ 14
Balanced
CHAOS
52% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Lems Disciple
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 19 · 53% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Silver I
JUNGLE
Bronze III
ADC
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 73 · 60% favored
Jalopy
OVR
Gold III
ADC
Bronze I PLACEMENT
MID
Edgewing
OVR
Dog Shit II
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 20 · 53% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo III
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
xSadHyper
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
Zikze
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond II
SUPPORT
Gold III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 74 · 61% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond II
SUPPORT
Diamond I
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -19.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Lems Disciple | Awilix | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | -5.1 | -5 | 0 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | Apollo | 3 | 7 | 4 | 37 | -2.1 | 35 | 104 |
| MID THIRD | Edgewing | Merlin | 3 | 5 | 1 | -22 | -4.8 | -27 | 19 |
| SOLO NEW | xSadHyper | Artio | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -4.2 | 3 | 1 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Khepri | 0 | 9 | 4 | 130 | -3.2 | 127 | 112 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +28.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Kryooo C TOP DMG | Ratatoskr | 11 | 1 | 10 | 49 | +8.0 | 57 | 55 |
| ADC THIRD | Jalopy | Cupid | 9 | 5 | 7 | 58 | +1.7 | 59 | 16 |
| MID SECONDARY | iRoFFLe | Kukulkan | 2 | 3 | 10 | -12 | +1.7 | -10 | 16 |
| SOLO NEW | Zikze | Achilles | 10 | 1 | 8 | -1 | +6.7 | 6 | 2 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Atlas | 3 | 0 | 19 | 129 | +10.7 | 140 | 77 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Gold III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Zikze | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | xSadHyper | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Silver I | Silver II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Lems Disciple | rookie | |
| ADC | Edgewing | Dog Shit II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Diamond II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- xSadHyper: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- Jonhy0700: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- Jalopy: CHAOS ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Zikze: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Edgewing: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- Lems Disciple: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SUPPORT
Notes / Flags
- Weak3n [shitter]: no relic wave 1 / feeding / only used pluck to run the entire game