CHAOS WIN
05/06/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/7/2026, 1:00:17 PM
Kills
10 – 35
MVP · best KDA
Riptzer 3/0/19
Biggest Elo gain
Riptzer +10.7
Biggest Elo drop
Lems Disciple -5.1
Balance Analysis
Based on 112 prior matchesORDER
48% win prob
Δ 14
Balanced
CHAOS
52% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Lems Disciple
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 19 · 53% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Silver I
JUNGLE
Bronze III
ADC
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 73 · 60% favored
Jalopy
OVR
Gold III
ADC
Bronze I PLACEMENT
MID
Edgewing
OVR
Dog Shit II
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 20 · 53% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo III
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
xSadHyper
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
Zikze
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond II
SUPPORT
Gold III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 74 · 61% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond II
SUPPORT
Diamond I
ORDER (LOSS) 10 kills Team Δ -19.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Lems Disciple | 4/9/3 | 0.78 | 0 | ▼ -5.1 | -5 | 0 | |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | 3/7/4 | 1.00 | 37 | ▼ -2.1 | 35 | 104 | |
| MID THIRD | Edgewing | 3/5/1 | 0.80 | -22 | ▼ -4.8 | -27 | 19 | |
| SOLO NEW | xSadHyper | 0/5/2 | 0.40 | 7 | ▼ -4.2 | 3 | 1 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | 0/9/4 | 0.44 | 130 | ▼ -3.2 | 127 | 112 |
CHAOS (WIN) 35 kills Team Δ +28.8
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Kryooo C TOP DMG | 11/1/10 | 21.00 | 49 | ▲ +8.0 | 57 | 55 | |
| ADC THIRD | Jalopy | 9/5/7 | 3.20 | 58 | ▲ +1.7 | 59 | 16 | |
| MID SECONDARY | iRoFFLe | 2/3/10 | 4.00 | -12 | ▲ +1.7 | -10 | 16 | |
| SOLO NEW | Zikze | 10/1/8 | 18.00 | -1 | ▲ +6.7 | 6 | 2 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer MVP | 3/0/19 | 22.00 | 129 | ▲ +10.7 | 140 | 77 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Gold III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Zikze | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | xSadHyper | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Silver I | Silver II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Lems Disciple | rookie | |
| ADC | Edgewing | Dog Shit II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Diamond II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- xSadHyper: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- Jonhy0700: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- Jalopy: CHAOS ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Zikze: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Edgewing: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- Lems Disciple: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SUPPORT
Notes / Flags
- Weak3n [shitter]: no relic wave 1 / feeding / only used pluck to run the entire game