05/05/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/6/2026, 8:02:16 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 32:28
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2765130310?t=02h48m26s @ 10106s
Balance Analysis
Based on 110 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 9
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver II
JUNGLE
Amber III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 68 · 60% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 68 · 60% favored
KingBopBop
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Sink
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 11 · 52% favored
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo II
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Kryooo
OVR
Silver II
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
SinxJ
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Platinum I
SUPPORT
Diamond III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 124 · 67% favored
edith
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +30.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 TOP DMG | Kali | 19 | 11 | 12 | 44 | +3.8 | 48 | 102 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Hou Yi | 12 | 7 | 17 | -118 | +5.2 | -113 | 67 |
| MID NEW | Sink | Janus | 17 | 5 | 21 | 6 | +9.9 | 16 | 2 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Kryooo | Artio | 5 | 7 | 14 | 42 | +3.9 | 46 | 53 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | Ganesha | 1 | 7 | 30 | 107 | +8.0 | 115 | 75 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -24.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Tsukuyomi | 13 | 11 | 12 | 139 | -5.1 | 134 | 110 |
| ADC NEW | KingBopBop C | Anhur | 6 | 11 | 11 | -5 | -8.1 | -13 | 2 |
| MID THIRD | i cant read | Kukulkan | 9 | 12 | 12 | -8 | -3.4 | -12 | 13 |
| SOLO NEW | SinxJ | Achilles | 8 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -2.6 | 10 | 1 |
| SUPPORT | edith | Baron Samedi | 1 | 13 | 19 | -12 | -5.6 | -18 | 3 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | edith | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Platinum I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | KingBopBop | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Sink | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | SinxJ | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Silver II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- KingBopBop: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SOLO
- edith: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- i cant read: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- Kryooo: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Sink: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- SinxJ: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- SinxJ [weak3n_said]: If our dumbass fuckin dude didnt try to defend the tier 2 tower and die for no reason we win the game
- SinxJ [shitter]: defending a t2 alone