ORDER WIN
05/05/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/6/2026, 8:02:16 PM
Kills
54 – 37
MVP · best KDA
Sink 17/5/21
Biggest Elo gain
Sink +9.8
Biggest Elo drop
KingBopBop -8.0
Balance Analysis
Based on 110 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 7
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver II
JUNGLE
Amber III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 68 · 60% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 68 · 60% favored
KingBopBop
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Sink
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 11 · 52% favored
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo II
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Kryooo
OVR
Silver II
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
SnixJ
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Platinum I
SUPPORT
Diamond III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 124 · 67% favored
edith
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 54 kills Team Δ +30.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 TOP DMG | 19/11/12 | 2.82 | 44 | ▲ +3.8 | 48 | 102 | |
| ADC | RogueThrone | 12/7/17 | 4.14 | -118 | ▲ +5.2 | -113 | 67 | |
| MID NEW | Sink MVP | 17/5/21 | 7.60 | 7 | ▲ +9.8 | 16 | 2 | |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Kryooo | 5/7/14 | 2.71 | 42 | ▲ +3.9 | 46 | 53 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | 1/7/30 | 4.43 | 107 | ▲ +7.9 | 115 | 75 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 37 kills Team Δ -24.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 13/11/12 | 2.27 | 139 | ▼ -5.1 | 134 | 110 | |
| ADC NEW | KingBopBop C | 6/11/11 | 1.55 | -5 | ▼ -8.0 | -13 | 2 | |
| MID THIRD | i cant read | 9/12/12 | 1.75 | -8 | ▼ -3.4 | -12 | 13 | |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | SnixJ | 8/7/8 | 2.29 | 2 | ▼ -2.6 | -1 | 4 | |
| SUPPORT | edith | 1/13/19 | 1.54 | -12 | ▼ -5.6 | -18 | 3 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Riptzer | Platinum I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | SnixJ | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Silver II | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit II |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | edith | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | KingBopBop | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Sink | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → ORDER SOLO
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- Kryooo: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- SnixJ: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Sink: ORDER MID → CHAOS SUPPORT
- KingBopBop: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- edith: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- i cant read: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- SnixJ [weak3n_said]: If our dumbass fuckin dude didnt try to defend the tier 2 tower and die for no reason we win the game
- SnixJ [shitter]: defending a t2 alone