05/05/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/6/2026, 7:49:01 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 24:17
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2765130310?t=02h12m03s @ 7923s
Balance Analysis
Based on 109 prior matchesORDER
61% win prob
Δ 76
ORDER favored
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
39% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Gold I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 82 · 62% favored
Sink
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond III
ADC
Poo Poo II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 69 · 60% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Silver II
MID
Bronze II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 22 · 53% favored
SinxJ
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Tametoy
OVR
Bronze I
SOLO
Bronze III
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
SOLO
Bronze III
SUPPORT
edith
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 40 · 56% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze I
SUPPORT
Bronze I PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -29.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Cernunnos | 2 | 9 | 0 | 151 | -12.6 | 139 | 109 |
| ADC THIRD | Riptzer | Anhur | 3 | 11 | 0 | 112 | -4.7 | 107 | 74 |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 C | Morgan Le Fay | 2 | 9 | 2 | 45 | -7.0 | 38 | 33 |
| SOLO | Tametoy | Achilles | 3 | 6 | 2 | 31 | -1.9 | 29 | 14 |
| SUPPORT NEW | edith | Ganesha | 0 | 8 | 5 | -9 | -3.5 | -12 | 2 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +36.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Sink TOP DMG | Susano | 21 | 2 | 13 | -2 | +8.9 | 6 | 1 |
| ADC | RogueThrone C | Apollo | 3 | 2 | 13 | -122 | +3.6 | -118 | 66 |
| MID NEW | SinxJ | Janus | 11 | 1 | 13 | 0 | +12.2 | 12 | 0 |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Osiris | 6 | 3 | 11 | 41 | +3.1 | 44 | 101 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Kryooo | Sobek | 2 | 2 | 23 | 34 | +8.6 | 42 | 52 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SinxJ | rookie | |
| ADC | Tametoy | Bronze I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| MID | edith | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | DeltaJulz613 | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Sink | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Diamond III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit II |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Bronze I | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Tametoy: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- edith: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- SinxJ: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Riptzer: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- DeltaJulz613: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- Sink: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC