05/04/2026 · Match #7 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/5/2026, 1:59:31 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · F6 by ORDER · Length: 21:41
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2764355812?t=03h50m21s @ 13821s
Balance Analysis
Based on 106 prior matchesORDER
53% win prob
Δ 20
Balanced
CHAOS
47% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Gold I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 73 · 60% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze I
JUNGLE
Amber II
ADC
Tricky
OVR
Dog Shit III
ADC
Bronze II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 69 · 60% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Draiden
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze I PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Gold I
MID
Silver III PLACEMENT
SOLO
DAW00T
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 14 · 52% favored
Tametoy
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond II
SUPPORT
Diamond III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 116 · 66% favored
Xuffer
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -25.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n F6er | Loki | 3 | 7 | 3 | 143 | -4.9 | 138 | 106 |
| ADC | Tricky C F6er | Chiron | 2 | 5 | 1 | -30 | -6.6 | -36 | 24 |
| MID | Draiden F6er | Janus | 1 | 3 | 4 | 32 | -1.3 | 31 | 5 |
| SOLO NEW | DAW00T F6er | Achilles | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -5.3 | 3 | 2 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer F6er | Sylvanus | 0 | 7 | 3 | 120 | -7.0 | 113 | 71 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +31.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Kryooo STOMPER | Nemesis | 8 | 2 | 4 | 34 | +4.2 | 38 | 49 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 STOMPER | Hou Yi | 6 | 4 | 3 | 36 | +1.9 | 38 | 98 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | sillyslother C STOMPER | Anubis | 7 | 1 | 6 | 77 | +8.8 | 85 | 60 |
| SOLO | Tametoy TOP DMG STOMPER | Pele | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23 | +6.2 | 29 | 11 |
| SUPPORT | Xuffer STOMPER | Yemoja | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +10.7 | 14 | 4 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | Dog Shit III | Bronze II |
| MID | Kryooo | Bronze I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | DAW00T | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Xuffer | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Diamond II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold I | Gold I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Tametoy | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Draiden: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- DAW00T: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Tametoy: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Xuffer: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- sillyslother: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SOLO
Notes / Flags
- Tricky [weak3n_said]: if im gonna tank the whole tower and get his aegis i need you to not dive and die for no reason
- DAW00T [shitter]: diffed