04/30/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/1/2026, 2:53:55 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 33:26
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2761100091?t=01h02m39s @ 3759s
Balance Analysis
Based on 89 prior matchesORDER
45% win prob
Δ 37
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
55% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian I
JUNGLE
Platinum I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 122 · 67% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Gold I
JUNGLE
Dog Shit I
ADC
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Bronze III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
Jalopy
OVR
Silver III
ADC
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
MrJUICY
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 12 · 52% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Amber I
MID
Poo Poo II
SOLO
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Dog Shit I
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Gold III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
TT
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 20 · 53% favored
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber II
SUPPORT
Bronze III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -19.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Mercury | 3 | 7 | 8 | 172 | -4.2 | 168 | 89 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Tricky TOP DMG | Zeus | 7 | 7 | 5 | -34 | -3.6 | -37 | 17 |
| MID NEW | MrJUICY | Morgan Le Fay | 2 | 7 | 8 | 4 | -4.7 | 0 | 1 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | RogueThrone | Thor | 3 | 11 | 6 | -130 | -3.6 | -133 | 55 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | TT C | Sylvanus | 2 | 14 | 8 | -2 | -3.6 | -5 | 5 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +26.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | sillyslother C | Kali | 11 | 5 | 10 | 76 | +2.4 | 78 | 48 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Jalopy | Cupid | 8 | 3 | 13 | 39 | +3.7 | 43 | 13 |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 | Princess Bari | 8 | 6 | 19 | 15 | +2.4 | 17 | 23 |
| SOLO THIRD | Riptzer | Sun Wukong | 8 | 0 | 14 | 58 | +13.0 | 71 | 55 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Ishtar | 11 | 3 | 16 | 7 | +5.4 | 12 | 19 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | MrJUICY | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | DeltaJulz613 | Amber I | Bronze III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| MID | TT | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold I | Gold I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Gold III | Platinum III |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- RogueThrone: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Jalopy: CHAOS ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- Tricky: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- TT: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- sillyslother: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Riptzer: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
Notes / Flags
- MrJUICY [weak3n_said]: why is your ult up and we are all dead?
- MrJUICY [weak3n_said]: If your not on this fucking phoenix you have no brain
- MrJUICY [shitter]: terrible game awareness
- TT [shitter]: horrible sylv build