CHAOS WIN
04/30/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/1/2026, 2:53:55 PM
Kills
17 – 46
MVP · best KDA
Riptzer 8/0/14
Biggest Elo gain
Riptzer +13.0
Biggest Elo drop
MrJUICY -4.7
Balance Analysis
Based on 89 prior matchesORDER
45% win prob
Δ 37
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
55% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 17% Order / 83% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian I
JUNGLE
Platinum I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 122 · 67% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Gold I
JUNGLE
Dog Shit I
ADC
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Bronze III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
Jalopy
OVR
Silver III
ADC
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
MrJUICY
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 12 · 52% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Amber I
MID
Poo Poo II
SOLO
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Dog Shit I
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Gold III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
TT
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 20 · 53% favored
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber II
SUPPORT
Bronze III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 17 kills Team Δ -19.7
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 3/7/8 | 1.57 | 172 | ▼ -4.2 | 168 | 89 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | Tricky TOP DMG | 7/7/5 | 1.71 | -34 | ▼ -3.6 | -37 | 17 | |
| MID NEW | MrJUICY | 2/7/8 | 1.43 | 4 | ▼ -4.7 | 0 | 1 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | RogueThrone | 3/11/6 | 0.82 | -130 | ▼ -3.6 | -133 | 55 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | TT C | 2/14/8 | 0.71 | -2 | ▼ -3.6 | -5 | 5 |
CHAOS (WIN) 46 kills Team Δ +26.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | sillyslother C | 11/5/10 | 4.20 | 76 | ▲ +2.4 | 78 | 48 | |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Jalopy | 8/3/13 | 7.00 | 39 | ▲ +3.7 | 43 | 13 | |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 | 8/6/19 | 4.50 | 15 | ▲ +2.4 | 17 | 23 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Riptzer MVP | 8/0/14 | 22.00 | 58 | ▲ +13.0 | 71 | 55 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | 11/3/16 | 9.00 | 7 | ▲ +5.4 | 12 | 19 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | MrJUICY | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | DeltaJulz613 | Amber I | Bronze III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| MID | TT | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold I | Gold I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Gold III | Platinum III |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- RogueThrone: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Jalopy: CHAOS ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- Tricky: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- TT: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- sillyslother: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Riptzer: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
Notes / Flags
- MrJUICY [weak3n_said]: why is your ult up and we are all dead?
- MrJUICY [weak3n_said]: If your not on this fucking phoenix you have no brain
- MrJUICY [shitter]: terrible game awareness
- TT [shitter]: horrible sylv build