CHAOS WIN
04/30/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/1/2026, 2:54:11 PM
Kills
19 – 39
MVP · best KDA
Imdead 3/1/9
Biggest Elo gain
Riptzer +11.4
Biggest Elo drop
RogueThrone -5.1
Balance Analysis
Based on 88 prior matchesORDER
40% win prob
Δ 69
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
60% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 29% Order / 71% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
GTboss94
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 100 · 64% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian I
JUNGLE
Platinum I
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 55 · 58% favored
TT
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Imdead
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 9 · 51% favored
MrJUICY
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Tricky
OVR
Dog Shit III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 22 · 53% favored
Blhyss
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Jalopy
OVR
Silver II
SUPPORT
Bronze I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 40 · 56% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Silver II
SUPPORT
Gold II
ORDER (LOSS) 19 kills Team Δ -16.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | GTboss94 | 4/10/3 | 0.70 | -7 | ▼ -3.6 | -10 | 7 | |
| ADC | RogueThrone C | 10/10/2 | 1.20 | -125 | ▼ -5.1 | -130 | 54 | |
| MID | Imdead MVP | 3/1/9 | 12.00 | -3 | ▼ -0.7 | -4 | 4 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Tricky | 1/10/6 | 0.70 | -30 | ▼ -3.6 | -34 | 16 | |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | 1/8/10 | 1.38 | 43 | ▼ -3.8 | 39 | 12 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | TT | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | Dog Shit III | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| MID | MrJUICY | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Imdead | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Blhyss | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit I |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Silver II | Gold II |
What changed vs actual draft
- GTboss94: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Tricky: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- MrJUICY: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- TT: CHAOS ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Imdead: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- Jalopy: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- Blhyss: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
Notes / Flags
- GTboss94 [shitter]: bottom dmg in the game