04/14/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 6:34:38 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 26:03
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2748270375?t=3h18m10s @ 11890s
Balance Analysis
Based on 4 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 4
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber I PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 2 · 50% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 28 · 54% favored
Tricky
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
ADC
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
xSadHyper
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Edgewing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 12 · 52% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -29.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Da Ji | 8 | 10 | 7 | 13 | -5.1 | 8 | 4 |
| ADC NEW | i cant read | Rama | 5 | 8 | 8 | -10 | -5.0 | -15 | 1 |
| MID NEW | DeltaJulz613 | Morgan Le Fay | 3 | 4 | 6 | -4 | -3.5 | -8 | 1 |
| SOLO NEW | Edgewing | Hua Mulan | 0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | -11.6 | -12 | 0 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | Baron Samedi | 4 | 7 | 7 | -4 | -4.4 | -8 | 4 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +29.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | ItzStallone | Kali | 16 | 3 | 10 | 19 | +8.2 | 27 | 4 |
| ADC | Tricky TOP DMG | Nu Wa | 14 | 4 | 16 | 18 | +6.8 | 25 | 4 |
| MID NEW | xSadHyper | Discordia | 4 | 2 | 12 | 0 | +7.0 | 7 | 0 |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 C | Amaterasu | 4 | 4 | 11 | -19 | +3.8 | -16 | 4 |
| SUPPORT | OSteg | Aphrodite | 0 | 7 | 21 | 0 | +3.9 | 4 | 4 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | DeltaJulz613 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Edgewing | rookie | |
| SOLO | xSadHyper | rookie | |
| SUPPORT | ItzStallone | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | i cant read | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Edgewing: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- DeltaJulz613: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- xSadHyper: CHAOS MID → ORDER SOLO
- ItzStallone: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Tricky: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
- OSteg: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE