04/26/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Edgewing on 4/27/2026, 2:13:20 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 33:42
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2757986086?t=1h48m0s @ 6480s
Balance Analysis
Based on 62 prior matchesORDER
55% win prob
Δ 33
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
45% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
Silver I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 55 · 58% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver II
JUNGLE
Poo Poo I
ADC
Edgewing
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 22 · 53% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Dest
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 19 · 53% favored
Suhlayer
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Tametoy
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
Stych 99
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Bronze II
SUPPORT
Silver III
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 52 · 57% favored
Horrify
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +27.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Kali | 9 | 9 | 8 | 96 | +2.8 | 99 | 62 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Edgewing C | Ullr | 1 | 7 | 12 | -37 | +2.3 | -35 | 12 |
| MID NEW | Dest | Scylla | 15 | 3 | 13 | 19 | +13.8 | 33 | 2 |
| SOLO | Tametoy | Anubis | 9 | 8 | 12 | 8 | +4.0 | 12 | 6 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Ganesha | 0 | 11 | 23 | 27 | +4.3 | 31 | 30 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -27.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | Awilix | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44 | -4.5 | 39 | 60 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Hou Yi | 13 | 8 | 11 | -90 | -5.1 | -96 | 36 |
| MID NEW | Suhlayer TOP DMG | Zeus | 11 | 2 | 14 | 0 | -1.3 | -1 | 0 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Stych 99 C | Bellona | 1 | 9 | 11 | 7 | -9.9 | -3 | 3 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Horrify | Odin | 2 | 8 | 13 | -11 | -6.4 | -18 | 22 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Tametoy | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Stych 99 | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Dest | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Bronze II | Silver III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Suhlayer | rookie | |
| ADC | Horrify | Poo Poo III | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | Edgewing | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Tametoy: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Dest: ORDER MID → ORDER SOLO
- Stych 99: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER MID
- RogueThrone: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Edgewing: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Suhlayer: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Horrify: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- Edgewing [weak3n_said]: I've found new tech, when Edgewing is having a bad game, just make him buy an item thats good for the team so he has SOME value