04/01/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/24/2026, 9:35:46 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 23:26
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2737603624?t=2h37m39s @ 9459s
Balance Analysis
Based on 58 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 13
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Poo Poo II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 24 · 53% favored
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze I
JUNGLE
Bronze III PLACEMENT
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Amber I
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 12 · 52% favored
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum II
MID
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 11 · 52% favored
Coco
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
JohnRowing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 2 · 50% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber II
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Edgewing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 48 · 57% favored
Jigann
OVR
Poo Poo I
SUPPORT
Amber I
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +28.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C | Hun Batz | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | +1.9 | 40 | 56 |
| ADC | Kryooo | Nut | 10 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +6.8 | 17 | 31 |
| MID THIRD | Weak3n TOP DMG | Anubis | 7 | 5 | 16 | 94 | +2.8 | 97 | 58 |
| SOLO | JohnRowing | Ratatoskr | 5 | 0 | 14 | 5 | +13.0 | 18 | 9 |
| SUPPORT THIRD | Edgewing | Artio | 3 | 4 | 19 | -45 | +4.4 | -41 | 9 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -24.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | AlphaClaps C | Aladdin | 5 | 10 | 6 | 29 | -5.8 | 23 | 20 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Artemis | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | -7.4 | -1 | 8 |
| MID NEW | Coco | Hecate | 4 | 7 | 7 | 0 | -2.1 | -2 | 0 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | iRoFFLe | Cabrakan | 0 | 7 | 7 | 5 | -2.6 | 3 | 10 |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | Achilles | 7 | 7 | 2 | -2 | -6.3 | -8 | 13 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | JohnRowing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Bronze I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | iRoFFLe | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Kryooo | Amber I | Amber I |
| MID | Coco | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | Poo Poo I | Amber I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Edgewing: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- JohnRowing: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SOLO
- AlphaClaps: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE