04/06/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/25/2026, 12:22:47 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · F6 by ORDER · Length: 18:17
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2741800605?t=1h33m39s @ 5619s
Balance Analysis
Based on 54 prior matchesORDER
47% win prob
Δ 19
Balanced
CHAOS
53% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum III
JUNGLE
Silver I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 60 · 59% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Poo Poo III
ADC
Riptzer
OVR
Bronze II
ADC
Amber II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 16 · 52% favored
ItsPeas
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Doni
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 91 · 63% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum II
MID
Platinum II
SOLO
KingSaber
OVR
Bronze I
SOLO
Silver III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 32 · 55% favored
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Jigann
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 62 · 59% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Gold II
SUPPORT
Gold III
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -19.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n F6er | Hou Yi | 2 | 5 | 1 | 85 | -3.4 | 82 | 54 |
| ADC THIRD | Riptzer C F6er | Anhur | 2 | 6 | 1 | 22 | -2.0 | 20 | 24 |
| MID NEW | Doni F6er | Discordia | 0 | 6 | 0 | -10 | -7.1 | -17 | 2 |
| SOLO | KingSaber F6er | Cabrakan | 2 | 6 | 1 | 33 | -4.5 | 29 | 10 |
| SUPPORT | Jigann F6er | Baron Samedi | 0 | 5 | 3 | -11 | -2.5 | -13 | 11 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +28.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 STOMPER | Hun Batz | 8 | 1 | 9 | 36 | +7.4 | 44 | 52 |
| ADC | ItsPeas STOMPER | Cupid | 4 | 2 | 8 | -9 | +2.4 | -7 | 3 |
| MID | Boolougames STOMPER | Agni | 6 | 0 | 10 | 94 | +6.8 | 101 | 24 |
| SOLO | AlphaClaps TOP DMG STOMPER | Loki | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26 | +3.2 | 29 | 19 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother C STOMPER | Yemoja | 2 | 1 | 13 | 68 | +8.5 | 77 | 31 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Doni | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItsPeas | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | KingSaber | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Gold II | Gold III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | AlphaClaps | Bronze II | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber I |
| SOLO | Jigann | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Bronze II | Silver III |
What changed vs actual draft
- Doni: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- KingSaber: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- ItsPeas: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- sillyslother: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Riptzer: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Jigann: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- AlphaClaps: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- Doni [shitter]: lowest dmg in 20 mins