04/06/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/24/2026, 10:24:51 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 37:37
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2741800605?t=0h48m56s @ 2936s
Balance Analysis
Based on 53 prior matchesORDER
45% win prob
Δ 34
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
55% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum III
JUNGLE
Silver I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 71 · 60% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze I
JUNGLE
Dog Shit I
ADC
ItsPeas
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 2 · 50% favored
i cant read
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 144 · 70% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum III
MID
Platinum III
SOLO
Jigann
OVR
Poo Poo I
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
JuiceMan28
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 17 · 52% favored
Jalopy
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Bronze III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -24.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Awilix | 8 | 10 | 18 | 91 | -5.9 | 85 | 53 |
| ADC NEW | ItsPeas | Chiron | 7 | 5 | 9 | -7 | -2.4 | -9 | 2 |
| MID THIRD | RogueThrone | Agni | 7 | 8 | 9 | -93 | -7.5 | -100 | 32 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Jigann C | Pele | 9 | 9 | 13 | -5 | -5.8 | -11 | 10 |
| SUPPORT NEW | JuiceMan28 | Ares | 5 | 6 | 18 | 0 | -3.1 | -3 | 0 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +27.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C TOP DMG | Kali | 16 | 7 | 13 | 31 | +5.5 | 36 | 51 |
| ADC | i cant read | Anhur | 4 | 5 | 14 | -8 | +4.2 | -4 | 7 |
| MID | Boolougames | Kukulkan | 7 | 4 | 15 | 87 | +7.0 | 94 | 23 |
| SOLO | AlphaClaps | Da Ji | 10 | 13 | 21 | 22 | +3.4 | 26 | 18 |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | Sobek | 1 | 7 | 26 | 25 | +7.0 | 32 | 7 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | ItsPeas | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | Poo Poo I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Boolougames | Platinum III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Bronze II | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | JuiceMan28 | rookie | |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- ItsPeas: ORDER ADC → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- RogueThrone: ORDER MID → ORDER ADC
- Jigann: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Jalopy: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- JuiceMan28: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- AlphaClaps: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- RogueThrone [shitter]: got picked up duo lane right after other team got fire