04/08/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 2:44:02 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 25:00
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2743365522?t=3h27m10s @ 12430s
Balance Analysis
Based on 42 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 16
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Gold I
JUNGLE
Silver I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 81 · 61% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber I
JUNGLE
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ItzStallone
OVR
Silver III
ADC
Silver II PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 31 · 54% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Bronze III
MID
JohnRowing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 54 · 58% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Silver I
MID
Silver I
SOLO
Spideydoo
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 24 · 53% favored
Edgewing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Poo Poo I
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
Jigann
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +28.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Mercury | 9 | 2 | 8 | 80 | +6.9 | 87 | 42 |
| ADC SECONDARY | ItzStallone C | Hou Yi | 7 | 2 | 6 | 37 | +5.3 | 42 | 15 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | JohnRowing TOP DMG | Nu Wa | 8 | 6 | 8 | 2 | +2.2 | 5 | 8 |
| SOLO | Spideydoo | Cabrakan | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | +6.5 | 19 | 4 |
| SUPPORT | DeltaJulz613 | Bacchus | 4 | 2 | 12 | -4 | +7.8 | 3 | 10 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -28.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C | Thor | 5 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -3.9 | 8 | 40 |
| ADC | Kryooo | Anhur | 3 | 9 | 2 | 10 | -9.6 | 1 | 23 |
| MID | Boolougames | Kukulkan | 1 | 6 | 7 | 54 | -4.5 | 50 | 14 |
| SOLO THIRD | Edgewing | Artio | 2 | 7 | 3 | -27 | -7.5 | -34 | 6 |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | Hun Batz | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | -3.1 | -5 | 5 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Silver I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Kryooo | Amber I | Bronze III |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Amber I | Bronze III |
| SOLO | Spideydoo | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | JohnRowing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Silver III | Silver II PLACEMENT |
| MID | Edgewing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Gold I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | DeltaJulz613 | Poo Poo I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Jigann: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- ItzStallone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- DeltaJulz613: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- JohnRowing: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Edgewing: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID