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04/23/2026 · Match #49 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED

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ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2743365522?t=3h34m26s @ 12866s

Balance Analysis

Based on 46 prior matches
ORDER
68
49% win prob
Δ 7
Balanced
CHAOS
76
51% win prob

ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +111.7

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
ADC SECONDARY Weak3n Mercury 9 2 8 251 +24.6 276 46
MID SECONDARY ItzStallone Hou Yi 7 2 6 91 +21.7 112 15
SOLO THIRD DeltaJulz613 Bacchus 4 2 12 -35 +26.1 -9 10
JUNGLE NEW Spideydoo Cabrakan 4 1 4 35 +21.7 57 4
SUPPORT THIRD JohnRowing Nu Wa 8 6 8 -1 +17.6 17 8

CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -55.7

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
MID Edgewing Artio 2 7 3 -29 -12.1 -41 7
JUNGLE SECONDARY Jigann Hun Batz 2 3 3 5 -12.1 -7 9
SOLO THIRD Kryooo Anhur 3 9 2 64 -9.9 54 27
SUPPORT THIRD Jonhy0700 Thor 5 7 5 210 -10.8 199 43
ADC THIRD Boolougames Kukulkan 1 6 7 127 -10.7 116 15

Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
76
51% win prob
Δ 7
most balanced split
CHAOS
68
49% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerElo
ADC Boolougames 127
MID Edgewing -29
SOLO Kryooo 64
JUNGLE Jigann 5
SUPPORT Jonhy0700 210

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerElo
ADC Weak3n 251
MID ItzStallone 91
SOLO DeltaJulz613 -35
JUNGLE Spideydoo 35
SUPPORT JohnRowing -1

What changed vs actual draft