04/08/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 2:28:23 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 32:02
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2743365522?t=2h5m16s @ 7516s
Balance Analysis
Based on 40 prior matchesORDER
44% win prob
Δ 41
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
56% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Edgewing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 43 · 56% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Silver II
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Bronze II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 14 · 52% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Bronze II
ADC
Silver III PLACEMENT
MID
Tametoy
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 44 · 56% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Silver II
MID
Silver II
SOLO
JohnRowing
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 14 · 52% favored
AlphaClaps
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Horrify
OVR
Poo Poo I
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 49 · 57% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Gold II
SUPPORT
Silver I
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -23.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Edgewing | Loki | 5 | 11 | 6 | -24 | -2.8 | -27 | 5 |
| ADC | Kryooo | Hou Yi | 6 | 7 | 2 | 15 | -4.4 | 10 | 22 |
| MID SECONDARY | Tametoy C | Merlin | 4 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -2.4 | 8 | 5 |
| SOLO | JohnRowing | Odin | 5 | 7 | 3 | 10 | -5.1 | 5 | 6 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Horrify | Geb | 2 | 11 | 4 | -5 | -9.0 | -14 | 17 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +26.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Hun Batz | 10 | 6 | 16 | 72 | +3.4 | 75 | 40 |
| ADC THIRD | ItzStallone C TOP DMG | Kali | 17 | 3 | 12 | 24 | +8.0 | 32 | 13 |
| MID | Boolougames | Discordia | 7 | 3 | 19 | 43 | +6.6 | 49 | 12 |
| SOLO | AlphaClaps | Thor | 5 | 6 | 15 | 10 | +2.9 | 13 | 15 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Cerberus | 2 | 5 | 24 | 65 | +5.6 | 71 | 23 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | AlphaClaps | Amber I | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Silver II | Silver II |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Gold II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Tametoy | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ItzStallone | Bronze II | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Kryooo | Amber I | Bronze II |
| MID | JohnRowing | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold II | Gold II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Horrify | Poo Poo I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Tametoy: ORDER MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- Edgewing: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- AlphaClaps: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- Horrify: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- JohnRowing: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS MID
- sillyslother: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- ItzStallone: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE