04/23/2026 · Match #47 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2743365522?t=2h6m6s @ 7566s
Balance Analysis
Based on 44 prior matchesORDER
37% win prob
Δ 96
Favored
CHAOS
63% win prob
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -43.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MID | Edgewing | Loki | 5 | 11 | 6 | -20 | -9.0 | -29 | 6 |
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | Hou Yi | 6 | 7 | 2 | 73 | -9.1 | 64 | 26 |
| SOLO | Tametoy | Merlin | 4 | 5 | 8 | -16 | -10.4 | -27 | 5 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Horrify | Geb | 2 | 11 | 4 | 58 | -7.8 | 50 | 17 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | JohnRowing | Odin | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -6.8 | 8 | 6 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +79.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC SECONDARY | Weak3n | Hun Batz | 10 | 6 | 16 | 222 | +13.5 | 235 | 44 |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Cerberus | 2 | 5 | 24 | 148 | +13.1 | 161 | 27 |
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | ItzStallone | Kali | 17 | 3 | 12 | 56 | +19.3 | 76 | 13 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | AlphaClaps | Thor | 5 | 6 | 15 | 66 | +15.2 | 82 | 15 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Boolougames | Discordia | 7 | 3 | 19 | 96 | +18.2 | 114 | 13 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| MID | Edgewing | -20 |
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | 73 |
| SOLO | Tametoy | -16 |
| ADC | Weak3n | 222 |
| SUPPORT | Boolougames | 96 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| MID | AlphaClaps | 66 |
| JUNGLE | ItzStallone | 56 |
| SOLO | sillyslother | 148 |
| ADC | Horrify | 58 |
| SUPPORT | JohnRowing | 15 |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Boolougames: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT