04/23/2026 · Match #33 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: AGAINST
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2754713173?t=1h54m22s @ 6862s
Balance Analysis
Based on 30 prior matchesORDER
53% win prob
Δ 22
Balanced
CHAOS
47% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +110.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOLO THIRD | sillyslother | Sobek | 7 | 3 | 16 | 94 | +19.6 | 113 | 21 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | ItzStallone | Agni | 4 | 2 | 14 | 63 | +23.5 | 87 | 10 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Kryooo | Apollo | 16 | 0 | 7 | 84 | +30.3 | 114 | 17 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 | Kali | 8 | 3 | 17 | 107 | +18.6 | 126 | 29 |
| JUNGLE NEW | Giftie | Chaac | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | +18.3 | 33 | 1 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -49.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Weak3n | Mordred | 3 | 7 | 3 | 142 | -9.6 | 132 | 30 |
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | AlphaClaps | Yemoja | 2 | 5 | 0 | 70 | -9.2 | 61 | 7 |
| ADC NEW | Boolougames | Discordia | 2 | 6 | 1 | 39 | -10.3 | 28 | 2 |
| MID NEW | tresMANIACS | Cernunnos | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | -10.0 | -10 | 0 |
| SOLO NEW | I'd Suck Weak3n's Toes For $3 | Thor | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | -10.5 | -11 | 0 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
51% win prob
Δ 5
most balanced split
CHAOS
49% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SOLO | I'd Suck Weak3n's Toes For $3 | rookie |
| SUPPORT | Weak3n | 142 |
| MID | tresMANIACS | rookie |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | 107 |
| JUNGLE | AlphaClaps | 70 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SOLO | sillyslother | 94 |
| SUPPORT | ItzStallone | 63 |
| MID | Kryooo | 84 |
| ADC | Boolougames | 39 |
| JUNGLE | Giftie | 15 |
What changed vs actual draft
- I'd Suck Weak3n's Toes For $3: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- Weak3n: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- tresMANIACS: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- AlphaClaps: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- tresMANIACS [shitter]: Bad Builder