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04/23/2026 · Match #33 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED

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ORDER WIN · Weak3n: AGAINST

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2754713173?t=1h54m22s @ 6862s

Balance Analysis

Based on 30 prior matches
ORDER
73
53% win prob
Δ 22
Balanced
CHAOS
50
47% win prob

ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +110.3

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
SOLO THIRD sillyslother Sobek 7 3 16 94 +19.6 113 21
SUPPORT OFF-ROLE ItzStallone Agni 4 2 14 63 +23.5 87 10
MID OFF-ROLE Kryooo Apollo 16 0 7 84 +30.3 114 17
ADC SECONDARY Jonhy0700 Kali 8 3 17 107 +18.6 126 29
JUNGLE NEW Giftie Chaac 2 1 8 15 +18.3 33 1

CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -49.6

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
SUPPORT SECONDARY Weak3n Mordred 3 7 3 142 -9.6 132 30
JUNGLE SECONDARY AlphaClaps Yemoja 2 5 0 70 -9.2 61 7
ADC NEW Boolougames Discordia 2 6 1 39 -10.3 28 2
MID NEW tresMANIACS Cernunnos 1 13 1 0 -10.0 -10 0
SOLO NEW I'd Suck Weak3n's Toes For $3 Thor 1 6 4 0 -10.5 -11 0

Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
64
51% win prob
Δ 5
most balanced split
CHAOS
59
49% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerElo
SOLO I'd Suck Weak3n's Toes For $3 rookie
SUPPORT Weak3n 142
MID tresMANIACS rookie
ADC Jonhy0700 107
JUNGLE AlphaClaps 70

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerElo
SOLO sillyslother 94
SUPPORT ItzStallone 63
MID Kryooo 84
ADC Boolougames 39
JUNGLE Giftie 15

What changed vs actual draft

Notes / Flags