ORDER WIN
08/12/2026 · Match #6 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/14/2026, 4:34:24 PM
Kills
36 – 14
MVP · best KDA
ForeverNeoo 9/2/14
Biggest Elo gain
ForeverNeoo +8.2
Biggest Elo drop
Jigann -8.7
Balance Analysis
Based on 239 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 17
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 114 · 66% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian II
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
OSteg
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
EVEN
gap 7 · 51% favored
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ForeverNeoo
OVR
Amber II
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 2 · 50% favored
FazeSlim
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Kryooo
OVR
Obsidian I
SOLO
Gold III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 21 · 53% favored
Horrify
OVR
Silver II
SOLO
Silver II
SUPPORT
httpsfroggy
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 62 · 59% favored
Jigann
OVR
Gold II
SUPPORT
Gold III
ORDER (WIN) 36 kills Team Δ +28.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C | 2/4/17 | 4.75 | 96 | ▲ +3.2 | 99 | 174 | |
| ADC THIRD | OSteg | 8/2/13 | 10.50 | 17 | ▲ +7.3 | 24 | 109 | |
| MID SECONDARY | ForeverNeoo MVP TOP DMG | 9/2/14 | 11.50 | 9 | ▲ +8.2 | 17 | 23 | |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Kryooo | 5/3/10 | 5.00 | 173 | ▲ +3.9 | 177 | 112 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | httpsfroggy | 12/3/12 | 8.00 | 7 | ▲ +5.9 | 13 | 2 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 14 kills Team Δ -24.7
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 3/10/5 | 0.80 | 155 | ▼ -4.8 | 150 | 239 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 3/7/3 | 0.86 | -47 | ▼ -4.4 | -52 | 86 | |
| MID NEW | FazeSlim | 1/6/2 | 0.50 | -2 | ▼ -3.9 | -6 | 2 | |
| SOLO | Horrify C | 2/6/5 | 1.17 | 45 | ▼ -2.9 | 42 | 53 | |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | 5/7/0 | 0.71 | 67 | ▼ -8.7 | 59 | 38 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ForeverNeoo | Amber II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Jigann | Gold II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Horrify | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Bronze III | Silver II |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Platinum II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | FazeSlim | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Obsidian I | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian II | Platinum I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | httpsfroggy | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- OSteg: ORDER ADC → ORDER SOLO
- ForeverNeoo: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER MID
- Jigann: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Kryooo: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS MID
- httpsfroggy: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- FazeSlim: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC