CHAOS WIN
08/12/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/14/2026, 4:23:35 PM
Kills
17 – 45
MVP · best KDA
Chevin 4/2/26
Biggest Elo gain
Chevin +12.6
Biggest Elo drop
Tricky -13.5
Balance Analysis
Based on 238 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 11
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
AlphaClaps
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Bronze II
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 32 · 55% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Obsidian I
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Poo Poo I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 50 · 57% favored
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
x2godx
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 14 · 52% favored
Dest
OVR
Bronze II
MID
Amber I
SOLO
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian II
SOLO
Platinum I PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Order
gap 109 · 65% favored
Jones3Gaming
OVR
Poo Poo I
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
HazardousOOF
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
Chevin
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 17 kills Team Δ -26.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | AlphaClaps | 10/6/3 | 2.17 | 71 | ▼ -2.0 | 69 | 54 | |
| ADC | Tricky | 2/12/2 | 0.33 | -50 | ▼ -13.5 | -63 | 45 | |
| MID SECONDARY | x2godx | 1/7/4 | 0.71 | 2 | ▼ -6.7 | -4 | 6 | |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | 2/9/8 | 1.11 | 157 | ▼ -1.8 | 155 | 238 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | HazardousOOF | 2/11/6 | 0.73 | 9 | ▼ -2.6 | 7 | 1 |
CHAOS (WIN) 45 kills Team Δ +31.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Kryooo TOP DMG | 14/3/17 | 10.33 | 167 | ▲ +6.6 | 173 | 111 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 12/4/8 | 5.00 | -51 | ▲ +3.4 | -47 | 85 | |
| MID | Dest | 11/3/13 | 8.00 | 26 | ▲ +5.1 | 31 | 18 | |
| SOLO | Jones3Gaming | 4/5/18 | 4.40 | -4 | ▲ +3.2 | 0 | 10 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | Chevin MVP | 4/2/26 | 15.00 | -4 | ▲ +12.6 | 8 | 1 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jones3Gaming | Poo Poo I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Dest | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Chevin | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian II | Platinum I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | x2godx | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Poo Poo I |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Gold II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Obsidian I | Gold III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | HazardousOOF | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- x2godx: ORDER MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- Dest: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- Jones3Gaming: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Chevin: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- AlphaClaps: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Tricky: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- HazardousOOF: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE