CHAOS WIN
08/10/2026 · Match #8 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/14/2026, 3:38:29 PM
Kills
7 – 30
MVP · best KDA
namechanged8242 7/1/14
Biggest Elo gain
namechanged8242 +10.4
Biggest Elo drop
ForeverNeoo -7.2
Balance Analysis
Based on 233 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 13
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Gold I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 74 · 60% favored
namechanged8242
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Jdood2000
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 20 · 53% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Obsidian II
ADC
Bronze I
MID
OSteg
OVR
Bronze II
MID
Poo Poo II
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
ScoobySnaccs
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
ForeverNeoo
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 21 · 53% favored
Edgewing
OVR
Dog Shit III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Jigann
OVR
Gold II
SUPPORT
Gold III
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 58 · 58% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Platinum II
SUPPORT
Amber II PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 7 kills Team Δ -24.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 2/6/4 | 1.00 | 152 | ▼ -3.4 | 149 | 233 | |
| ADC | Jdood2000 | 0/5/1 | 0.20 | 11 | ▼ -6.5 | 5 | 3 | |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg C | 3/9/2 | 0.56 | 23 | ▼ -5.8 | 17 | 108 | |
| SOLO | ForeverNeoo | 1/7/2 | 0.43 | 19 | ▼ -7.2 | 12 | 19 | |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | 1/3/4 | 1.67 | 69 | ▼ -1.6 | 67 | 37 |
CHAOS (WIN) 30 kills Team Δ +31.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | namechanged8242 MVP TOP DMG | 7/1/14 | 21.00 | 0 | ▲ +10.4 | 10 | 0 | |
| ADC | Kryooo | 11/0/2 | 13.00 | 156 | ▲ +7.6 | 163 | 108 | |
| MID | ScoobySnaccs | 4/0/11 | 15.00 | -10 | ▲ +7.3 | -3 | 4 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Edgewing C | 4/2/10 | 7.00 | -30 | ▲ +3.9 | -26 | 33 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Jonhy0700 | 4/4/9 | 3.25 | 94 | ▲ +1.9 | 96 | 173 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ScoobySnaccs | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Jigann | Gold II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Edgewing | Dog Shit III | Dog Shit II |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | ForeverNeoo | Bronze III | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jdood2000 | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | namechanged8242 | rookie | |
| MID | Kryooo | Obsidian II | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Bronze II | Silver II |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Platinum II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jigann: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- ForeverNeoo: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Edgewing: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER MID
- ScoobySnaccs: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- OSteg: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- Jdood2000: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
- namechanged8242: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC