CHAOS WIN
07/16/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/10/2026, 11:02:37 PM
Kills
60 – 54
MVP · best KDA
ForeverNeoo 12/10/24
Biggest Elo gain
ForeverNeoo +7.8
Biggest Elo drop
ItzStallone -4.5
Balance Analysis
Based on 220 prior matchesORDER
45% win prob
Δ 32
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
55% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Spoon
OVR
Poo Poo II
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 99 · 64% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
Malenia
OVR
Amber III
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 57 · 58% favored
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold I
MID
Silver I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 38 · 55% favored
JuiceMan28
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SOLO
OSteg
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Silver I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 58 · 58% favored
ForeverNeoo
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
AlphaClaps
OVR
Gold II
SUPPORT
Bronze I PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 227 · 79% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Master I
SUPPORT
Demigod
ORDER (LOSS) 60 kills Team Δ -15.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Spoon | 4/9/23 | 3.00 | -7 | ▼ -2.6 | -10 | 18 | |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Malenia | 7/11/19 | 2.36 | 2 | ▼ -3.4 | -1 | 12 | |
| MID | ItzStallone C | 21/11/14 | 3.18 | 73 | ▼ -4.5 | 69 | 40 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | 9/11/20 | 2.64 | 24 | ▼ -2.6 | 21 | 101 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | AlphaClaps | 19/13/17 | 2.77 | 72 | ▼ -2.7 | 70 | 50 |
CHAOS (WIN) 54 kills Team Δ +27.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | 18/15/13 | 2.07 | 140 | ▲ +4.3 | 144 | 220 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 4/9/17 | 2.33 | -55 | ▲ +4.2 | -51 | 75 | |
| MID SECONDARY | JuiceMan28 | 8/13/19 | 2.08 | 18 | ▲ +4.1 | 22 | 6 | |
| SOLO | ForeverNeoo MVP | 12/10/24 | 3.60 | -2 | ▲ +7.8 | 6 | 9 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | 12/13/26 | 2.92 | 224 | ▲ +6.9 | 231 | 145 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ItzStallone | Gold I | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Spoon | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | JuiceMan28 | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | AlphaClaps | Gold II | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ForeverNeoo | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Malenia | Amber III | Amber III |
| SOLO | OSteg | Bronze II | Silver I |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master I | Demigod |
What changed vs actual draft
- Spoon: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- ItzStallone: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- JuiceMan28: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- OSteg: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SOLO
- Malenia: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- ForeverNeoo: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC