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ORDER WIN F6 by CHAOS UPSET

07/14/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest

UNCONFIRMED Weak3n: WITH ⏱ 20:38 ▶ Watch VOD
Kills 2511
MVP · best KDA Kryooo 8/1/9
Biggest Elo gain Kryooo +11.0
Biggest Elo drop i cant read -11.1

Balance Analysis

Based on 212 prior matches
ORDER
30
45% win prob
Δ 32
Lean CHAOS UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
62
55% win prob
45%
55%
Order win probChaos win prob

Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).

Lane Matchups

Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.

JUNGLE
Spoon
OVR Poo Poo II
JUNGLE Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos gap 96 · 63% favored
Weak3n
OVR Diamond I
JUNGLE Gold II
ADC
Kryooo
OVR Obsidian III
ADC Bronze II
MISMATCH — Order gap 71 · 60% favored
i cant read
OVR ROFFLE Tier
ADC ROFFLE Tier
MID
ForeverNeoo
OVR Amber III PLACEMENT
MID Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos gap 15 · 52% favored
Malenia
OVR Amber I PLACEMENT
MID Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Jones3Gaming
OVR Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO Amber II PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order gap 32 · 55% favored
Riptzer
OVR Master I
SOLO Dog Shit III
SUPPORT
Horrify
OVR Amber III
SUPPORT Dog Shit II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos gap 29 · 54% favored
Rebel
OVR Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT Amber III PLACEMENT

ORDER (WIN) 25 kills Team Δ +32.7

RolePlayerGodK/D/AKDA BeforeΔAfterGP
JUNGLE THIRD Spoon STOMPER 5/1/6 11.00 -9 ▲ +7.2 -2 11
ADC Kryooo MVP STOMPER 8/1/9 17.00 146 ▲ +11.0 157 101
MID NEW ForeverNeoo STOMPER 2/5/13 3.00 2 ▲ +2.0 3 2
SOLO SECONDARY Jones3Gaming STOMPER 5/2/11 8.00 6 ▲ +5.6 12 3
SUPPORT SECONDARY Horrify STOMPER 5/2/13 9.00 3 ▲ +7.0 10 44

CHAOS (LOSS) 11 kills Team Δ -32.7

RolePlayerGodK/D/AKDA BeforeΔAfterGP
JUNGLE Weak3n F6er 4/7/6 1.43 136 ▼ -5.6 130 212
ADC i cant read F6er 1/4/2 0.75 -43 ▼ -11.1 -55 69
MID Malenia F6er 3/4/8 2.75 15 ▼ -3.0 12 6
SOLO THIRD Riptzer F6er 2/2/3 2.50 214 ▼ -3.0 211 137
SUPPORT SECONDARY Rebel F6er 1/8/4 0.63 -14 ▼ -10.1 -24 4

Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
45
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
45
50% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerOverallIn Role
JUNGLE Spoon Poo Poo II Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC Horrify Amber III Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID Kryooo Obsidian III Bronze I PLACEMENT
SOLO Weak3n Diamond I Platinum II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT Rebel Amber III PLACEMENT Amber III PLACEMENT

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerOverallIn Role
JUNGLE i cant read ROFFLE Tier Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC Malenia Amber I PLACEMENT Amber III PLACEMENT
MID ForeverNeoo Amber III PLACEMENT Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO Jones3Gaming Amber II PLACEMENT Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT Riptzer Master I Demigod

What changed vs actual draft

Notes / Flags