ORDER WIN
F6 by CHAOS
UPSET
07/14/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/10/2026, 11:05:38 PM
Kills
25 – 11
MVP · best KDA
Kryooo 8/1/9
Biggest Elo gain
Kryooo +11.1
Biggest Elo drop
i cant read -11.2
Balance Analysis
Based on 212 prior matchesORDER
45% win prob
Δ 33
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
55% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Spoon
OVR
Poo Poo II
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 93 · 63% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Obsidian III
ADC
Bronze II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 70 · 60% favored
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ForeverNeoo
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 23 · 53% favored
Malenia
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Jones3Gaming
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 32 · 55% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Master I
SOLO
Dog Shit III
SUPPORT
Horrify
OVR
Amber III
SUPPORT
Dog Shit II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 29 · 54% favored
Rebel
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 25 kills Team Δ +32.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE THIRD | Spoon STOMPER | 5/1/6 | 11.00 | -9 | ▲ +7.2 | -2 | 11 | |
| ADC | Kryooo MVP TOP DMG STOMPER | 8/1/9 | 17.00 | 149 | ▲ +11.1 | 160 | 101 | |
| MID SECONDARY | ForeverNeoo STOMPER | 2/5/13 | 3.00 | -1 | ▲ +2.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Jones3Gaming STOMPER | 5/2/11 | 8.00 | 6 | ▲ +5.7 | 12 | 3 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Horrify C STOMPER | 5/2/13 | 9.00 | 3 | ▲ +7.0 | 10 | 44 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 11 kills Team Δ -32.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n F6er | 4/7/6 | 1.43 | 133 | ▼ -5.6 | 128 | 212 | |
| ADC | i cant read F6er | 1/4/2 | 0.75 | -42 | ▼ -11.2 | -54 | 69 | |
| MID | Malenia F6er | 3/4/8 | 2.75 | 20 | ▼ -3.0 | 17 | 6 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Riptzer C F6er | 2/2/3 | 2.50 | 216 | ▼ -3.0 | 213 | 137 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Rebel F6er | 1/8/4 | 0.63 | -14 | ▼ -10.1 | -24 | 4 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ForeverNeoo | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Rebel | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Spoon | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Horrify | Amber III | Bronze II |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master I | Demigod |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Jones3Gaming | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Obsidian III | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Malenia | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Spoon: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Horrify: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- ForeverNeoo: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Riptzer: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Rebel: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- Jones3Gaming: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Malenia: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SUPPORT
Notes / Flags
- Rebel [shitter]: didnt know how to play ares