04/20/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 6:46:26 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 28:49
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2753124660?t=2h42m46s @ 9766s
Balance Analysis
Based on 17 prior matchesORDER
51% win prob
Δ 10
Balanced
CHAOS
49% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Grease.
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 14 · 52% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Silver III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
Horrify
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 28 · 54% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo II
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
GTboss94
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Fuzzbuckit12
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
Ceart
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Weak3n
OVR
Bronze III
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +29.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Grease. | Cupid | 6 | 4 | 12 | 2 | +3.9 | 6 | 1 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Horrify TOP DMG | Anubis | 10 | 4 | 4 | 11 | +3.4 | 14 | 6 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | iRoFFLe C | Kukulkan | 4 | 2 | 16 | -11 | +8.5 | -3 | 5 |
| SOLO NEW | Fuzzbuckit12 | Sobek | 7 | 3 | 17 | 0 | +7.8 | 8 | 0 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Ne Zha | 9 | 3 | 9 | 17 | +5.4 | 23 | 17 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -18.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | sillyslother | Kali | 6 | 5 | 2 | 39 | -2.8 | 36 | 9 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Sol | 7 | 8 | 2 | -8 | -1.9 | -10 | 17 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | GTboss94 C | Artio | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | -6.2 | -2 | 5 |
| SOLO NEW | Ceart | Guan Yu | 1 | 8 | 5 | -20 | -5.6 | -25 | 2 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | RogueThrone | Morgan Le Fay | 2 | 8 | 5 | -46 | -2.3 | -48 | 11 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Bronze III | Bronze II |
| ADC | sillyslother | Silver III PLACEMENT | Silver II PLACEMENT |
| MID | Grease. | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Ceart | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Fuzzbuckit12 | rookie | |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | iRoFFLe | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Horrify | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber I PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Grease.: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Fuzzbuckit12: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Weak3n: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- Ceart: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- sillyslother: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- Horrify: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- iRoFFLe: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- GTboss94: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
- RogueThrone: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- sillyslother [weak3n_said]: Remind me to play SWEAT Jungles gods and Invade his Jungle 24/7 since were cringe Invading in Customs
- iRoFFLe [weak3n_said]: How do you mess up every engagement First was left oracles, both rouge engages, then purple buff
- iRoFFLe [weak3n_said]: Can't Say you're here and not use an ability