ORDER WIN
UPSET
07/13/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Kills
23 – 9
MVP · best KDA
Malenia 4/1/10
Biggest Elo gain
Malenia +11.6
Biggest Elo drop
Jigann -7.1
Balance Analysis
Based on 204 prior matchesORDER
39% win prob
Δ 75
CHAOS favored
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
61% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 87% Order / 13% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Ultima
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 47 · 57% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
JUNGLE
Silver II
ADC
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 36 · 55% favored
Rebel
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Malenia
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
x2godx
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Dr Germ
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 21 · 53% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Master II
SOLO
Dog Shit II
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber II
SUPPORT
Bronze II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 13 · 52% favored
Jigann
OVR
Bronze I
SUPPORT
Silver III
ORDER (WIN) 23 kills Team Δ +36.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Ultima | 8/3/12 | 6.67 | -5 | ▲ +5.7 | 1 | 1 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 3/2/6 | 4.50 | -34 | ▲ +3.6 | -31 | 61 | |
| MID NEW | Malenia MVP | 4/1/10 | 14.00 | 0 | ▲ +11.6 | 12 | 0 | |
| SOLO NEW | Dr Germ | 3/0/7 | 10.00 | 0 | ▲ +9.4 | 9 | 0 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 5/3/13 | 6.00 | 5 | ▲ +6.1 | 11 | 53 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Jigann | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Malenia | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Amber II | Bronze II |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Dr Germ | rookie | |
| ADC | x2godx | rookie | |
| MID | Rebel | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Ultima | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master II | Master I |
What changed vs actual draft
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jigann: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Ultima: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Dr Germ: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Riptzer: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Rebel: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
- x2godx: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- Riptzer [general]: cap
- i cant read [general]: cap
- Ultima [general]: top