04/20/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 6:51:29 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 30:43
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2753124660?t=1h57m42s @ 7062s
Balance Analysis
Based on 16 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 7
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Dog Shit I
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 45 · 56% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Silver III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Bronze III PLACEMENT
ADC
Stych 99
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 21 · 53% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Weak3n
OVR
Amber I
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 18 · 53% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Horrify
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 7 · 51% favored
Mamba
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
GTboss94
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber I PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +30.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | Poseidon | 12 | 7 | 11 | -16 | +8.6 | -8 | 16 |
| ADC NEW | Stych 99 | Cupid | 8 | 7 | 9 | 5 | +6.3 | 11 | 1 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Vulcan | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12 | +5.6 | 17 | 16 |
| SOLO | Horrify | Loki | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 | +3.8 | 11 | 5 |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | Ares | 1 | 9 | 15 | -3 | +6.3 | 4 | 4 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -30.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE THIRD | sillyslother C | Gilgamesh | 14 | 3 | 8 | 42 | -2.7 | 39 | 8 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Hou Yi | 7 | 5 | 6 | -39 | -7.6 | -46 | 10 |
| MID | OSteg TOP DMG | Zeus | 8 | 3 | 14 | 13 | -2.8 | 10 | 12 |
| SOLO NEW | Mamba | Mordred | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | -7.4 | -7 | 0 |
| SUPPORT | ELLEONTTV | Anhur | 2 | 12 | 16 | 25 | -10.2 | 15 | 5 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Horrify | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Dog Shit I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | ELLEONTTV | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Amber I | Bronze II |
| ADC | sillyslother | Silver III PLACEMENT | Silver II PLACEMENT |
| MID | Stych 99 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber I | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Mamba | rookie | |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Horrify: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- ELLEONTTV: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- RogueThrone: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Stych 99: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Mamba: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- sillyslother: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC
- OSteg: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SOLO
Notes / Flags
- GTboss94 [weak3n_said]: I said i was ulting on top of you and you moved with Ares ult, just stand still
- GTboss94 [weak3n_said]: PLEASE LEAVE MID
- GTboss94 [weak3n_said]: If you're going to Ares Ult, DONT USE CHAINS BEFORE HAND
- Stych 99 [weak3n_said]: Let's not rotate like that and die for no reason
- Horrify [weak3n_said]: The Fuck are we doing? Alone in the Jungle at 20 Mins