04/21/2026 · Match #22 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2753124660?t=1h59m53s @ 7193s
Balance Analysis
Based on 19 prior matchesORDER
46% win prob
Δ 30
Slight edge
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
54% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +92.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MID THIRD | Weak3n | Vulcan | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | +18.8 | 27 | 19 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Horrify | Loki | 2 | 6 | 6 | 47 | +19.2 | 66 | 5 |
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Jonhy0700 | Poseidon | 12 | 7 | 11 | 9 | +23.6 | 32 | 18 |
| SOLO NEW | GTboss94 | Ares | 1 | 9 | 15 | 4 | +15.0 | 19 | 4 |
| ADC NEW | Stych 99 | Cupid | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | +16.0 | 40 | 1 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -89.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC | RogueThrone | Hou Yi | 7 | 5 | 6 | -18 | -16.3 | -35 | 12 |
| JUNGLE THIRD | sillyslother | Gilgamesh | 14 | 3 | 8 | 90 | -20.1 | 70 | 11 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | ELLEONTTV | Anhur | 2 | 12 | 16 | 73 | -13.2 | 60 | 5 |
| SOLO NEW | Mamba | Mordred | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | -16.2 | -16 | 0 |
| MID | OSteg | Zeus | 8 | 3 | 14 | 95 | -24.1 | 71 | 12 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| MID | OSteg | 95 |
| SUPPORT | ELLEONTTV | 73 |
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | 9 |
| SOLO | GTboss94 | 4 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | -18 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| MID | Weak3n | 8 |
| SUPPORT | Horrify | 47 |
| JUNGLE | sillyslother | 90 |
| SOLO | Mamba | rookie |
| ADC | Stych 99 | 24 |
What changed vs actual draft
- OSteg: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- ELLEONTTV: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- RogueThrone: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
Notes / Flags
- Horrify [weak3n_said]: The Fuck are we doing? Alone in the Jungle at 20 Mins
- GTboss94 [weak3n_said]: I said i was ulting on top of you and you moved with Ares ult, just stand still
- GTboss94 [weak3n_said]: PLEASE LEAVE MID
- GTboss94 [weak3n_said]: If you're going to Ares Ult, DONT USE CHAINS BEFORE HAND
- Stych 99 [weak3n_said]: Let's not rotate like that and die for no reason