CHAOS WIN
07/12/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Kills
12 – 24
MVP · best KDA
Weak3n 6/1/10
Biggest Elo gain
Jigann +10.3
Biggest Elo drop
Barbashingangstr -6.5
Balance Analysis
Based on 199 prior matchesORDER
45% win prob
Δ 34
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
55% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 9% Order / 91% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
i cant read
OVR
Dog Shit III
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 51 · 57% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum I
JUNGLE
Silver II
ADC
Barbashingangstr
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 2 · 50% favored
Basic Unc
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
BiggieSlaps
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
VooDooMoMaJuJu
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Jordi
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 22 · 53% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Bronze I
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo II
SUPPORT
Amber I
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 19 · 53% favored
Jigann
OVR
Bronze III
SUPPORT
Bronze I
ORDER (LOSS) 12 kills Team Δ -16.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | i cant read | 5/5/3 | 1.60 | -26 | ▼ -2.2 | -28 | 57 | |
| ADC NEW | Barbashingangstr | 1/8/2 | 0.38 | -6 | ▼ -6.5 | -12 | 1 | |
| MID | BiggieSlaps | 2/5/6 | 1.60 | -19 | ▼ -2.3 | -22 | 9 | |
| SOLO NEW | Jordi | 3/2/3 | 3.00 | 28 | ▼ -2.4 | 26 | 2 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 1/4/7 | 2.00 | -8 | ▼ -2.7 | -11 | 49 |
CHAOS (WIN) 24 kills Team Δ +27.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n MVP | 6/1/10 | 16.00 | 109 | ▲ +9.3 | 118 | 199 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | Basic Unc | 6/2/3 | 4.50 | -8 | ▲ +2.9 | -6 | 4 | |
| MID NEW | VooDooMoMaJuJu | 5/6/1 | 1.00 | 10 | ▲ +1.6 | 11 | 1 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | 4/2/6 | 5.00 | 10 | ▲ +3.1 | 13 | 89 | |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | 3/1/11 | 14.00 | 19 | ▲ +10.3 | 29 | 18 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jordi | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | VooDooMoMaJuJu | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | BiggieSlaps | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber I | Bronze I |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | Bronze III | Bronze I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Dog Shit III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Basic Unc | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Barbashingangstr | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo II | Amber I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jordi: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- Jigann: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- VooDooMoMaJuJu: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- iRoFFLe: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- i cant read: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Barbashingangstr: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
Notes / Flags
- BiggieSlaps [general]: cap
- Jigann [general]: cap
- VooDooMoMaJuJu [general]: top