CHAOS WIN
07/11/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Kills
27 – 26
MVP · best KDA
JohnRowing 3/3/14
Biggest Elo gain
Jigann +6.3
Biggest Elo drop
iRoFFLe -6.6
Balance Analysis
Based on 196 prior matchesORDER
39% win prob
Δ 80
CHAOS favored
CHAOS
61% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 39 · 56% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
Silver III
ADC
Shmeep
OVR
Poo Poo I
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 13 · 52% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Diamond I
ADC
Bronze III
MID
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo I
MID
Poo Poo II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 23 · 53% favored
Dest
OVR
Bronze II
MID
Amber I
SOLO
JohnRowing
OVR
Amber III
SOLO
Amber III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 74 · 60% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Platinum I
SOLO
Gold I
SUPPORT
Dishonored
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 21 · 53% favored
Jigann
OVR
Amber II
SUPPORT
Bronze III
ORDER (LOSS) 27 kills Team Δ -16.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | i cant read | 14/7/4 | 2.57 | -30 | ▼ -2.5 | -33 | 54 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | Shmeep | 5/7/8 | 1.86 | -4 | ▼ -3.8 | -7 | 13 | |
| MID SECONDARY | iRoFFLe | 3/6/10 | 2.17 | -1 | ▼ -6.6 | -7 | 46 | |
| SOLO | JohnRowing MVP | 3/3/14 | 5.67 | 4 | ▼ -2.1 | 2 | 16 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | Dishonored | 2/3/15 | 5.67 | 0 | ▼ -1.8 | -2 | 0 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Dest | Bronze II | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Shmeep | Poo Poo I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Diamond I | Silver I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo I | Amber I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Dishonored | rookie | |
| ADC | Jigann | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | JohnRowing | Amber III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Platinum I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- iRoFFLe: ORDER MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- i cant read: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Dest: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SOLO
- JohnRowing: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS MID
- Dishonored: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Jigann: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- Dest [general]: top
- Jonhy0700 [general]: cap
- JohnRowing [general]: cap