CHAOS WIN
06/29/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest
Kills
35 – 44
MVP · best KDA
Riptzer 8/5/22
Biggest Elo gain
Riptzer +8.1
Biggest Elo drop
Frost_CS -7.7
Balance Analysis
Based on 194 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 98% Order / 2% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
MrUMS
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
Basic Unc
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Diamond I
ADC
Bronze III
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 55 · 58% favored
i cant read
OVR
Dog Shit III
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Kalvish
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Master II
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Frost_CS
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 64 · 59% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Platinum II
SOLO
Gold III
SUPPORT
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum II
SUPPORT
Gold II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 92 · 63% favored
Spoon
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 35 kills Team Δ -23.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | MrUMS | 10/9/6 | 1.78 | 15 | ▼ -6.6 | 9 | 4 | |
| ADC | Kryooo | 16/7/6 | 3.14 | 139 | ▼ -3.5 | 136 | 91 | |
| MID NEW | Kalvish | 5/5/14 | 3.80 | 3 | ▼ -1.7 | 1 | 1 | |
| SOLO NEW | Frost_CS | 1/9/11 | 1.33 | 0 | ▼ -7.7 | -8 | 0 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | 3/14/12 | 1.07 | 97 | ▼ -4.5 | 92 | 194 |
CHAOS (WIN) 44 kills Team Δ +30.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Basic Unc | 8/7/20 | 4.00 | 0 | ▲ +5.5 | 5 | 0 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 14/9/14 | 3.11 | -29 | ▲ +4.4 | -24 | 52 | |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Riptzer MVP | 8/5/22 | 6.00 | 195 | ▲ +8.1 | 203 | 128 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 | 7/5/19 | 5.20 | 92 | ▲ +8.1 | 100 | 166 | |
| SUPPORT THIRD | Spoon | 7/9/15 | 2.44 | -10 | ▲ +4.0 | -6 | 9 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kalvish | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | MrUMS | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | i cant read | Dog Shit III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Platinum II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Frost_CS | rookie | |
| ADC | Basic Unc | rookie | |
| MID | Spoon | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Diamond I | Silver I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master II | Master I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- MrUMS: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- Kalvish: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → ORDER MID
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- Frost_CS: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Spoon: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- Riptzer: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Basic Unc: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- Frost_CS [shitter]: couldnt compete