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ORDER WIN F6 by CHAOS

06/29/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest

UNCONFIRMED Weak3n: WITH ⏱ 27:29 ▶ Watch VOD
Kills 3012
MVP · best KDA Riptzer 0/1/18
Biggest Elo gain Riptzer +11.6
Biggest Elo drop i cant read -6.0

Balance Analysis

Based on 193 prior matches
ORDER
70
55% win prob
Δ 38
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
32
45% win prob
55%
45%
Order win probChaos win prob

Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).

Lane Matchups

Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.

JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR Platinum II
JUNGLE Bronze II
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos gap 36 · 55% favored
Kryooo
OVR Obsidian III
JUNGLE Gold III
ADC
Kalvish
OVR Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order gap 29 · 54% favored
i cant read
OVR Dog Shit II
ADC Dog Shit III
MID
Jonhy0700
OVR Platinum III
MID Poo Poo III
MISMATCH — Chaos gap 65 · 59% favored
ELLEONTTV
OVR Gold II
MID Silver I
SOLO
Spoon
OVR Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos gap 12 · 52% favored
Rebel
OVR Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR Master III
SUPPORT Master II
MISMATCH — Order gap 207 · 77% favored
SSaiyanBlu
OVR Dog Shit III
SUPPORT Amber III PLACEMENT

ORDER (WIN) 30 kills Team Δ +26.7

RolePlayerGodK/D/AKDA BeforeΔAfterGP
JUNGLE Weak3n STOMPER 8/2/10 9.00 93 ▲ +4.1 97 193
ADC NEW Kalvish STOMPER 11/3/6 5.67 0 ▲ +2.8 3 0
MID THIRD Jonhy0700 STOMPER 2/5/9 2.20 90 ▲ +1.6 92 165
SOLO Spoon STOMPER 9/1/6 15.00 -17 ▲ +6.7 -10 8
SUPPORT Riptzer MVP STOMPER 0/1/18 18.00 184 ▲ +11.6 195 127

CHAOS (LOSS) 12 kills Team Δ -18.0

RolePlayerGodK/D/AKDA BeforeΔAfterGP
JUNGLE Kryooo F6er 3/5/4 1.40 143 ▼ -3.1 139 90
ADC i cant read F6er 1/5/3 0.80 -23 ▼ -6.0 -29 51
MID ELLEONTTV F6er 7/2/3 5.00 72 ▼ -0.4 72 24
SOLO NEW Rebel F6er 0/7/1 0.14 -2 ▼ -4.5 -6 2
SUPPORT OFF-ROLE SSaiyanBlu F6er 1/11/4 0.45 -29 ▼ -3.8 -33 21

Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
42
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
43
50% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerOverallIn Role
JUNGLE i cant read Dog Shit II Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC Kalvish rookie
MID Spoon Amber III PLACEMENT Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO Kryooo Obsidian III Silver I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT Riptzer Master III Master II

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerOverallIn Role
JUNGLE SSaiyanBlu Dog Shit III Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC ELLEONTTV Gold II Amber III PLACEMENT
MID Rebel Amber III PLACEMENT Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO Weak3n Platinum II Platinum II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT Jonhy0700 Platinum III Amber II PLACEMENT

What changed vs actual draft

Notes / Flags