CHAOS WIN
06/29/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Kills
19 – 35
MVP · best KDA
ELLEONTTV 10/0/15
Biggest Elo gain
ELLEONTTV +11.5
Biggest Elo drop
Women Respecter -7.0
Balance Analysis
Based on 191 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 8
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Women Respecter
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 29 · 54% favored
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Dog Shit III
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Obsidian II
ADC
Bronze I
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 27 · 54% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Platinum II
ADC
Amber II
MID
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum III
MID
Amber I
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 30 · 54% favored
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Gold III
MID
Silver III
SOLO
Shmeep
OVR
Poo Poo I
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
Jorgito
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Xuffer
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Bronze II PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 175 · 73% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian I
SUPPORT
Master II
ORDER (LOSS) 19 kills Team Δ -27.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Women Respecter | 5/8/5 | 1.25 | 0 | ▼ -7.0 | -7 | 0 | |
| ADC | Kryooo | 6/7/5 | 1.57 | 157 | ▼ -5.5 | 151 | 88 | |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | 3/6/5 | 1.33 | 84 | ▼ -6.7 | 77 | 191 | |
| SOLO | Shmeep | 4/7/6 | 1.43 | -1 | ▼ -5.9 | -7 | 11 | |
| SUPPORT | Xuffer | 1/7/10 | 1.57 | 25 | ▼ -2.1 | 23 | 8 |
CHAOS (WIN) 35 kills Team Δ +29.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE THIRD | SSaiyanBlu | 1/7/14 | 2.14 | -29 | ▲ +1.7 | -27 | 19 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 | 9/5/12 | 4.20 | 96 | ▲ +1.9 | 98 | 163 | |
| MID | ELLEONTTV MVP | 10/0/15 | 25.00 | 63 | ▲ +11.5 | 74 | 22 | |
| SOLO NEW | Jorgito | 7/1/13 | 20.00 | 0 | ▲ +9.9 | 10 | 0 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 8/3/16 | 8.00 | 177 | ▲ +4.2 | 182 | 125 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Women Respecter | rookie | |
| ADC | Jorgito | rookie | |
| MID | Xuffer | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Obsidian II | Silver I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian I | Master II |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SSaiyanBlu | Dog Shit III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ELLEONTTV | Gold III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Shmeep | Poo Poo I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Platinum II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Xuffer: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → ORDER SOLO
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Jorgito: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Shmeep: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- ELLEONTTV: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
Notes / Flags
- Women Respecter [shitter]: Flagged as shitter