04/21/2026 · Match #21 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: AGAINST · F6 by ORDER
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2753124660?t=1h42m7s @ 6127s
Balance Analysis
Based on 18 prior matchesORDER
57% win prob
Δ 51
Slight edge
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
43% win prob
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -79.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC THIRD | Weak3n F6er | Nu Wa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 23 | -14.9 | 8 | 18 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother F6er | Sylvanus | 0 | 3 | 3 | 108 | -17.9 | 90 | 10 |
| SOLO NEW | GTboss94 F6er | Achilles | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | -15.8 | 4 | 3 |
| JUNGLE NEW | Ceart F6er | Mercury | 0 | 3 | 0 | -13 | -15.8 | -29 | 1 |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg F6er | Baron Samedi | 0 | 3 | 1 | 110 | -15.0 | 95 | 11 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +145.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC | RogueThrone STOMPER | Jing Wei | 0 | 1 | 7 | -48 | +30.1 | -18 | 11 |
| JUNGLE NEW | AlphaClaps STOMPER | Fenrir | 4 | 0 | 5 | 14 | +34.2 | 48 | 3 |
| MID | Jonhy0700 STOMPER | Morgan Le Fay | 3 | 0 | 5 | -23 | +32.2 | 9 | 17 |
| SUPPORT NEW | ELLEONTTV STOMPER | Yemoja | 6 | 2 | 3 | 48 | +25.0 | 73 | 4 |
| SOLO NEW | Stych 99 STOMPER | Cerberus | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +24.0 | 24 | 0 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | Weak3n | 23 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | 108 |
| SOLO | Stych 99 | rookie |
| JUNGLE | AlphaClaps | 14 |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | -23 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | RogueThrone | -48 |
| SUPPORT | ELLEONTTV | 48 |
| SOLO | GTboss94 | 20 |
| JUNGLE | Ceart | -13 |
| MID | OSteg | 110 |
What changed vs actual draft
- Stych 99: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- AlphaClaps: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
Notes / Flags
- Ceart [weak3n_said]: Why is my Jungler at my purple and dying when I'm backing
- Ceart [shitter]: Shouldn't be in these lobbies, Gameplay is BUTT