04/20/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 6:55:06 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · F6 by ORDER · Length: 7:20
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2753124660?t=1h42m7s @ 6127s
Balance Analysis
Based on 15 prior matchesORDER
53% win prob
Δ 22
Balanced
CHAOS
47% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Ceart
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
AlphaClaps
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC
Weak3n
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 31 · 55% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
OSteg
OVR
Bronze III
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 11 · 52% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Dog Shit II
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
GTboss94
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
Stych 99
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
sillyslother
OVR
Silver II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 26 · 54% favored
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber II PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -25.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Ceart F6er | Mercury | 0 | 3 | 0 | -8 | -11.2 | -20 | 1 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Weak3n TOP DMG F6er | Nu Wa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | -0.8 | 12 | 15 |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg C F6er | Baron Samedi | 0 | 3 | 1 | 19 | -6.5 | 13 | 11 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | GTboss94 F6er | Achilles | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5.6 | -3 | 3 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother F6er | Sylvanus | 0 | 3 | 3 | 43 | -1.4 | 42 | 7 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +31.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | AlphaClaps STOMPER | Fenrir | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +9.2 | 15 | 3 |
| ADC | RogueThrone C STOMPER | Jing Wei | 0 | 1 | 7 | -44 | +5.8 | -39 | 9 |
| MID | Jonhy0700 STOMPER | Morgan Le Fay | 3 | 0 | 5 | -24 | +8.0 | -16 | 15 |
| SOLO NEW | Stych 99 STOMPER | Cerberus | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4.9 | 5 | 0 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | ELLEONTTV STOMPER | Yemoja | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21 | +4.0 | 25 | 4 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Ceart | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Dog Shit II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Silver II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Amber I | Bronze II |
| ADC | AlphaClaps | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | ELLEONTTV | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Bronze III | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Stych 99 | rookie | |
What changed vs actual draft
- GTboss94: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- sillyslother: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- RogueThrone: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- OSteg: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- ELLEONTTV: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- Stych 99: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- AlphaClaps: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- Ceart [weak3n_said]: Why is my Jungler at my purple and dying when I'm backing
- Ceart [shitter]: Shouldn't be in these lobbies, Gameplay is BUTT