ORDER WIN
F6 by CHAOS
06/02/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 6/4/2026, 2:51:42 AM
Kills
23 – 10
MVP · best KDA
ItzStallone 9/0/6
Biggest Elo gain
ItzStallone +10.6
Biggest Elo drop
KarmaAlwaysWinss -10.0
Balance Analysis
Based on 186 prior matchesORDER
51% win prob
Δ 9
Balanced
CHAOS
49% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 55% Order / 45% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Amber II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 19 · 53% favored
Horrify
OVR
Amber II
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Dog Shit I
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 19 · 53% favored
KarmaAlwaysWinss
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold II
MID
Silver II
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 42 · 56% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum II
MID
Platinum III
SOLO
MrUMS
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
Drewpossibly
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Jalopy
OVR
Platinum III
SUPPORT
Gold I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 74 · 60% favored
Oblivion
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 23 kills Team Δ +29.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n STOMPER | 7/3/4 | 3.67 | 66 | ▲ +2.6 | 69 | 186 | |
| ADC | Tricky STOMPER | 7/2/3 | 5.00 | -69 | ▲ +3.8 | -66 | 38 | |
| MID | ItzStallone MVP C TOP DMG STOMPER | 9/0/6 | 15.00 | 67 | ▲ +10.6 | 78 | 35 | |
| SOLO NEW | MrUMS STOMPER | 0/1/12 | 12.00 | 1 | ▲ +10.0 | 11 | 2 | |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy STOMPER | 0/4/9 | 2.25 | 90 | ▲ +2.2 | 92 | 26 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 10 kills Team Δ -23.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Horrify C F6er | 7/0/0 | 7.00 | 10 | ▼ -0.8 | 9 | 40 | |
| ADC NEW | KarmaAlwaysWinss F6er | 1/8/3 | 0.50 | 0 | ▼ -10.0 | -10 | 0 | |
| MID | Boolougames F6er | 2/3/4 | 2.00 | 95 | ▼ -6.3 | 89 | 96 | |
| SOLO NEW | Drewpossibly F6er | 0/5/2 | 0.40 | 4 | ▼ -5.0 | -1 | 2 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | Oblivion F6er | 0/1/7 | 7.00 | 0 | ▼ -1.2 | -1 | 0 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum II | Platinum I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit I |
| MID | Drewpossibly | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Jalopy | Platinum III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | KarmaAlwaysWinss | rookie | |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | MrUMS | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Gold II | Silver I |
| MID | Oblivion | rookie | |
| SOLO | Horrify | Amber II | Bronze I |
| SUPPORT | Weak3n | Gold II | Gold II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jalopy: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Drewpossibly: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER MID
- KarmaAlwaysWinss: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- ItzStallone: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- MrUMS: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Horrify: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Oblivion: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID