05/31/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 6/2/2026, 11:45:00 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 37:02
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2785704546?t=02h35m54s @ 9354s
Balance Analysis
Based on 184 prior matchesORDER
48% win prob
Δ 13
Balanced
CHAOS
52% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Dog Shit III
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 45 · 56% favored
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Silver II
JUNGLE
Bronze III PLACEMENT
ADC
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber II
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
Sentinel
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum II
MID
Platinum II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 98 · 64% favored
v Riddler v
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
TramboneKing
OVR
Dog Shit III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 91 · 63% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Silver I
SOLO
Platinum III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Room40
OVR
Dog Shit I
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
Rebel
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -20.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE THIRD | SSaiyanBlu | Loki | 9 | 5 | 9 | -25 | -3.9 | -29 | 18 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | iRoFFLe | Danzaburou | 12 | 8 | 5 | 5 | -3.1 | 2 | 44 |
| MID | Boolougames | Poseidon | 6 | 8 | 9 | 97 | -7.7 | 89 | 94 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | TramboneKing | Jormungandr | 6 | 9 | 8 | -29 | -4.4 | -34 | 18 |
| SUPPORT | Room40 | Ganesha | 0 | 4 | 18 | -18 | -1.1 | -19 | 10 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +28.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | ELLEONTTV TOP DMG | Awilix | 14 | 7 | 9 | 49 | +6.9 | 56 | 20 |
| ADC NEW | Sentinel | Rama | 7 | 9 | 5 | -6 | +2.8 | -3 | 2 |
| MID NEW | v Riddler v | Discordia | 5 | 4 | 10 | 0 | +7.4 | 7 | 0 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Bellona | 6 | 5 | 11 | 54 | +7.4 | 61 | 184 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Rebel | Khepri | 2 | 8 | 11 | 0 | +4.3 | 4 | 0 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Room40 | Dog Shit I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ELLEONTTV | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Rebel | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver I | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | TramboneKing | Dog Shit III | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | v Riddler v | rookie | |
| ADC | SSaiyanBlu | Dog Shit III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum II | Platinum II |
| SOLO | Sentinel | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Amber II | Amber I |
What changed vs actual draft
- TramboneKing: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Room40: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- ELLEONTTV: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- Rebel: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- iRoFFLe: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- SSaiyanBlu: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC
- Sentinel: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- v Riddler v: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE