ORDER WIN
05/31/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 6/2/2026, 1:53:25 AM
Kills
51 – 28
MVP · best KDA
Thgexecutor 11/4/22
Biggest Elo gain
Thgexecutor +8.6
Biggest Elo drop
iRoFFLe -5.3
Balance Analysis
Based on 182 prior matchesORDER
56% win prob
Δ 45
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
44% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Silver II
JUNGLE
Poo Poo II
EVEN
gap 7 · 51% favored
Spoon
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Sentinel
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 12 · 52% favored
dragowyatt
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Thgexecutor
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
BiggieSlaps
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum III
SOLO
Bronze III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 20 · 53% favored
TramboneKing
OVR
Dog Shit II
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Silver III
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 20 · 53% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber II
SUPPORT
Bronze III
ORDER (WIN) 51 kills Team Δ +26.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | 18/7/16 | 4.86 | 44 | ▲ +5.3 | 50 | 182 | |
| ADC NEW | Sentinel | 4/5/9 | 2.60 | -8 | ▲ +2.6 | -6 | 1 | |
| MID NEW | Thgexecutor MVP | 11/4/22 | 8.25 | 0 | ▲ +8.6 | 9 | 0 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Boolougames | 4/8/14 | 2.25 | 90 | ▲ +2.7 | 92 | 92 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | ELLEONTTV | 14/5/17 | 6.20 | 37 | ▲ +7.0 | 44 | 18 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 28 kills Team Δ -16.8
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Spoon | 7/6/10 | 2.83 | -23 | ▼ -1.3 | -24 | 5 | |
| ADC NEW | dragowyatt | 6/4/7 | 3.25 | -12 | ▼ -2.2 | -14 | 1 | |
| MID | BiggieSlaps | 6/15/5 | 0.73 | -11 | ▼ -4.7 | -16 | 7 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | TramboneKing | 4/11/7 | 1.00 | -21 | ▼ -3.3 | -24 | 16 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 5/15/12 | 1.13 | 6 | ▼ -5.3 | 0 | 42 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum III | Platinum I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Thgexecutor | rookie | |
| MID | ELLEONTTV | Silver III | Silver III |
| SOLO | BiggieSlaps | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | TramboneKing | Dog Shit II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Spoon | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | dragowyatt | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Sentinel | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver II | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Amber II | Bronze III |
What changed vs actual draft
- ELLEONTTV: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- Boolougames: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Thgexecutor: ORDER MID → ORDER ADC
- BiggieSlaps: CHAOS MID → ORDER SOLO
- TramboneKing: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Sentinel: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID