04/20/2026 · Match #20 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/24/2026, 10:11:27 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2753124660?t=0h36m45s @ 2205s
Balance Analysis
Based on 17 prior matchesORDER
45% win prob
Δ 33
Slight edge
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
55% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +111.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | Nut | 16 | 5 | 21 | -1 | +23.3 | 23 | 17 |
| ADC SECONDARY | RogueThrone | Cupid | 22 | 9 | 6 | -66 | +17.5 | -48 | 10 |
| MID | Jonhy0700 C | Princess Bari | 8 | 6 | 22 | -43 | +19.3 | -23 | 16 |
| SUPPORT NEW | GTboss94 | Athena | 3 | 8 | 24 | 4 | +16.3 | 20 | 2 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | OSteg | Cabrakan | 11 | 2 | 23 | 74 | +35.5 | 110 | 10 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -66.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MID NEW | Jalopy | Merlin | 12 | 7 | 8 | 0 | -15.6 | -16 | 0 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | sillyslother C | Apollo | 7 | 12 | 7 | 118 | -10.5 | 108 | 9 |
| JUNGLE NEW | AlphaClaps | Ratatoskr | 4 | 15 | 12 | 27 | -13.2 | 14 | 2 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Xuffer | Ymir | 4 | 14 | 15 | -12 | -13.6 | -25 | 1 |
| SOLO NEW | Ceart | Osiris | 3 | 12 | 8 | 0 | -13.0 | -13 | 0 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
51% win prob
Δ 5
most balanced split
CHAOS
49% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | -1 |
| ADC | sillyslother | 118 |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | -43 |
| SUPPORT | Xuffer | -12 |
| SOLO | Ceart | rookie |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | AlphaClaps | 27 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | -66 |
| MID | Jalopy | rookie |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | 4 |
| SOLO | OSteg | 74 |
What changed vs actual draft
- sillyslother: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Xuffer: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Ceart: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO