ORDER WIN
04/20/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/24/2026, 10:11:27 PM
Balance Analysis
Based on 14 prior matchesORDER
47% win prob
Δ 24
Balanced
CHAOS
53% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Amber II
JUNGLE
Bronze III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 18 · 53% favored
AlphaClaps
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 29 · 54% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Silver II PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Jonhy0700
OVR
Dog Shit III
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
Jalopy
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
OSteg
OVR
Amber III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
Ceart
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
GTboss94
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
Xuffer
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 60 kills Team Δ +32.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | 16/5/21 | 7.40 | 6 | ▲ +6.1 | 12 | 14 | |
| ADC | RogueThrone | 22/9/6 | 3.11 | -47 | ▲ +2.9 | -44 | 8 | |
| MID | Jonhy0700 C | 8/6/22 | 5.00 | -28 | ▲ +4.0 | -24 | 14 | |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | OSteg MVP | 11/2/23 | 17.00 | 4 | ▲ +15.3 | 19 | 10 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | GTboss94 | 3/8/24 | 3.38 | -1 | ▲ +3.7 | 3 | 2 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 30 kills Team Δ -25.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | AlphaClaps | 4/15/12 | 1.07 | 14 | ▼ -8.4 | 5 | 2 | |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | sillyslother C | 7/12/7 | 1.17 | 47 | ▼ -3.6 | 43 | 6 | |
| MID NEW | Jalopy | 12/7/8 | 2.86 | 0 | ▼ -2.9 | -3 | 0 | |
| SOLO NEW | Ceart | 3/12/8 | 0.92 | 0 | ▼ -8.5 | -8 | 0 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | Xuffer | 4/14/15 | 1.36 | -6 | ▼ -2.5 | -8 | 1 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | GTboss94 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Xuffer | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Dog Shit III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Ceart | rookie | |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | rookie | |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Amber II | Bronze III |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Silver II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | OSteg | Amber III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- GTboss94: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- Xuffer: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Ceart: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- Jalopy: CHAOS MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- OSteg: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- sillyslother: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- AlphaClaps: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS MID