05/28/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/29/2026, 6:17:10 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 37:35
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2783280975?t=03h45m59s @ 13559s
Balance Analysis
Based on 180 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 25
Lean ORDER
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
46% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Silver I
JUNGLE
Amber III
EVEN
gap 2 · 50% favored
Bioskyz
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Riptzer
OVR
Master III
ADC
Dog Shit I
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 44 · 56% favored
Jalopy
OVR
Platinum III
ADC
Bronze I PLACEMENT
MID
LordSlatysteak
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
Drewpossibly
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
GTboss94
OVR
Poo Poo III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 32 · 55% favored
Hydra
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
PEACE14
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 2 · 50% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Poo Poo I
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -24.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | Cernunnos | 17 | 13 | 2 | 55 | -7.5 | 48 | 180 |
| ADC THIRD | Riptzer C | Anhur | 5 | 8 | 11 | 181 | -3.2 | 177 | 124 |
| MID NEW | LordSlatysteak | Agni | 4 | 7 | 12 | 4 | -5.4 | -1 | 1 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | GTboss94 | Osiris | 3 | 7 | 6 | -11 | -4.3 | -16 | 20 |
| SUPPORT NEW | PEACE14 | Ganesha | 0 | 10 | 20 | 0 | -4.2 | -4 | 0 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +32.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Bioskyz C | Ullr | 15 | 8 | 16 | 2 | +2.8 | 5 | 3 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Jalopy | Cupid | 11 | 10 | 12 | 88 | +1.9 | 90 | 25 |
| MID NEW | Drewpossibly | Poseidon | 8 | 4 | 28 | -2 | +6.2 | 4 | 1 |
| SOLO | Hydra | Jormungandr | 9 | 7 | 17 | 28 | +2.9 | 31 | 4 |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Yemoja | 2 | 2 | 35 | -13 | +18.3 | 6 | 41 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Platinum III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Bioskyz | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo III | Poo Poo II |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver I | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | Poo Poo III | Amber I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | LordSlatysteak | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Hydra | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | PEACE14 | rookie | |
| SOLO | Drewpossibly | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master III | Master II |
What changed vs actual draft
- GTboss94: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jalopy: CHAOS ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- Bioskyz: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- Riptzer: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- LordSlatysteak: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- PEACE14: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- Hydra: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- Drewpossibly: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SOLO
Notes / Flags
- GTboss94 [shitter]: backed with fire left the team then inted