05/26/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/27/2026, 1:03:40 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 25:20
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2781729578?t=03h04m00s @ 11040s
Balance Analysis
Based on 177 prior matchesORDER
45% win prob
Δ 34
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
55% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
PrimeMinisterCyN
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Silver II
JUNGLE
Amber III
ADC
Eclipse feeds
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 10 · 51% favored
leoorchild
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Bronze II
MID
Amber I
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 97 · 64% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum I
MID
Platinum I
SOLO
Lihaaz
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 50 · 57% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Gold I
SOLO
Silver I
SUPPORT
Xuffer
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 22 · 53% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo II
SUPPORT
Amber II
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -20.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | PrimeMinisterCyN | Da Ji | 5 | 8 | 4 | 5 | -3.0 | 2 | 2 |
| ADC | Eclipse feeds | Medusa | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | -2.5 | 13 | 3 |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 C | Merlin | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | -2.8 | 22 | 38 |
| SOLO NEW | Lihaaz | Ne Zha | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | -11.7 | -12 | 0 |
| SUPPORT | Xuffer | Yemoja | 3 | 3 | 8 | 28 | -0.8 | 27 | 6 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +27.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Thor | 8 | 3 | 11 | 46 | +6.2 | 52 | 177 |
| ADC | leoorchild | Princess Bari | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | +2.5 | 19 | 10 |
| MID | Boolougames | Discordia | 3 | 4 | 9 | 104 | +2.8 | 107 | 89 |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 C TOP DMG | Mordred | 7 | 1 | 7 | 82 | +13.9 | 96 | 162 |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Sobek | 3 | 6 | 6 | -5 | +1.7 | -3 | 38 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Lihaaz | rookie | |
| ADC | Xuffer | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum I | Platinum I |
| SOLO | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Gold I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | leoorchild | Bronze III | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | DeltaJulz613 | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Eclipse feeds | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver II | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | PrimeMinisterCyN | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Xuffer: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Lihaaz: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- DeltaJulz613: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- Eclipse feeds: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- PrimeMinisterCyN: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- leoorchild: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO