CHAOS WIN
05/26/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/27/2026, 1:03:40 PM
Kills
18 – 26
MVP · best KDA
Jonhy0700 7/1/7
Biggest Elo gain
Jonhy0700 +13.9
Biggest Elo drop
Lihaaz -11.7
Balance Analysis
Based on 177 prior matchesORDER
45% win prob
Δ 34
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
55% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
PrimeMinisterCyN
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Silver II
JUNGLE
Amber III
ADC
Eclipse feeds
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 10 · 51% favored
leoorchild
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Bronze II
MID
Amber I
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 97 · 64% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum I
MID
Platinum I
SOLO
Lihaaz
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 50 · 57% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Gold I
SOLO
Silver I
SUPPORT
Xuffer
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 22 · 53% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo II
SUPPORT
Amber II
ORDER (LOSS) 18 kills Team Δ -20.8
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | PrimeMinisterCyN | 5/8/4 | 1.13 | 5 | ▼ -3.0 | 2 | 2 | |
| ADC | Eclipse feeds | 4/4/1 | 1.25 | 15 | ▼ -2.5 | 13 | 3 | |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 C | 5/4/5 | 2.50 | 25 | ▼ -2.8 | 22 | 38 | |
| SOLO NEW | Lihaaz | 1/7/2 | 0.43 | 0 | ▼ -11.7 | -12 | 0 | |
| SUPPORT | Xuffer | 3/3/8 | 3.67 | 28 | ▼ -0.8 | 27 | 6 |
CHAOS (WIN) 26 kills Team Δ +27.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 8/3/11 | 6.33 | 46 | ▲ +6.2 | 52 | 177 | |
| ADC | leoorchild | 5/4/5 | 2.50 | 16 | ▲ +2.5 | 19 | 10 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 3/4/9 | 3.00 | 104 | ▲ +2.8 | 107 | 89 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 MVP C TOP DMG | 7/1/7 | 14.00 | 82 | ▲ +13.9 | 96 | 162 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 3/6/6 | 1.50 | -5 | ▲ +1.7 | -3 | 38 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Lihaaz | rookie | |
| ADC | Xuffer | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum I | Platinum I |
| SOLO | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Gold I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | leoorchild | Bronze III | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | DeltaJulz613 | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Eclipse feeds | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver II | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | PrimeMinisterCyN | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Xuffer: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Lihaaz: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- DeltaJulz613: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- Eclipse feeds: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- PrimeMinisterCyN: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- leoorchild: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO