CHAOS WIN
F6 by ORDER
UPSET
05/25/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/26/2026, 2:27:44 PM
Kills
9 – 17
MVP · best KDA
Shmeep 3/0/3
Biggest Elo gain
Shmeep +9.0
Biggest Elo drop
dragowyatt -11.7
Balance Analysis
Based on 173 prior matchesORDER
57% win prob
Δ 47
Lean ORDER
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
43% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Platinum III
JUNGLE
Dog Shit III
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 28 · 54% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Silver I
JUNGLE
Amber III
ADC
dragowyatt
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 23 · 53% favored
i cant read
OVR
Dog Shit I
ADC
Dog Shit II
MID
OSteg
OVR
Bronze I
MID
Poo Poo III
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 18 · 53% favored
Dest
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Dog Shit III
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 11 · 52% favored
Shmeep
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Master III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 178 · 74% favored
GTboss94
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Amber I PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 9 kills Team Δ -34.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 F6er | 5/3/4 | 3.00 | 85 | ▼ -3.1 | 82 | 161 | |
| ADC NEW | dragowyatt F6er | 0/3/3 | 1.00 | 0 | ▼ -11.7 | -12 | 0 | |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg F6er | 1/4/5 | 1.50 | 30 | ▼ -6.7 | 23 | 82 | |
| SOLO | SSaiyanBlu C F6er | 1/1/3 | 4.00 | -31 | ▼ -2.1 | -33 | 16 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer F6er | 2/6/3 | 0.83 | 160 | ▼ -10.4 | 149 | 118 |
CHAOS (WIN) 17 kills Team Δ +34.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n STOMPER | 3/2/6 | 4.50 | 49 | ▲ +6.5 | 56 | 173 | |
| ADC | i cant read STOMPER | 6/2/3 | 4.50 | -16 | ▲ +7.2 | -9 | 44 | |
| MID | Dest TOP DMG STOMPER | 5/3/5 | 3.33 | 4 | ▲ +5.0 | 9 | 8 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Shmeep MVP STOMPER | 3/0/3 | 6.00 | -19 | ▲ +9.0 | -10 | 7 | |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 C STOMPER | 0/2/6 | 3.00 | -12 | ▲ +6.3 | -6 | 18 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Dog Shit I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Dest | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Shmeep | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver I | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Platinum III | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SSaiyanBlu | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | dragowyatt | rookie | |
| MID | GTboss94 | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Bronze I | Silver II |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Master III |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Dest: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- Shmeep: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- dragowyatt: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- SSaiyanBlu: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- GTboss94: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID