05/20/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/21/2026, 2:02:17 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 27:13
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2776993939?t=02h24m54s @ 8694s
Balance Analysis
Based on 162 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 11
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Dog Shit III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 75 · 61% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
Silver II
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Dog Shit II
ADC
Dog Shit I
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 94 · 63% favored
Draiden
OVR
Platinum II
ADC
Gold I PLACEMENT
MID
Sink
OVR
Bronze I
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 26 · 54% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Dog Shit III
SOLO
Heat
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
onetimemite5084
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Kryooo
OVR
Platinum II
SUPPORT
Silver II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 26 · 54% favored
GTboss94
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Bronze III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +29.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | Hun Batz | 13 | 4 | 17 | 35 | +1.8 | 37 | 151 |
| ADC | i cant read | Artemis | 6 | 5 | 22 | -23 | +1.7 | -21 | 37 |
| MID SECONDARY | Sink C TOP DMG | Janus | 15 | 0 | 19 | 29 | +8.4 | 37 | 19 |
| SOLO NEW | Heat | Charon | 4 | 1 | 18 | 5 | +6.2 | 11 | 2 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Kryooo | Sylvanus | 5 | 1 | 29 | 98 | +10.9 | 109 | 81 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -22.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | The Morrigan | 3 | 7 | 2 | 97 | -2.5 | 95 | 162 |
| ADC THIRD | Draiden C | Rama | 5 | 7 | 3 | 94 | -0.8 | 93 | 23 |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone | Morgan Le Fay | 1 | 9 | 0 | -87 | -10.9 | -98 | 92 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | onetimemite5084 | Hercules | 0 | 8 | 1 | -2 | -5.5 | -7 | 4 |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | Athena | 2 | 12 | 4 | -12 | -3.2 | -15 | 16 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Dog Shit II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Sink | Bronze I | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Heat | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum II | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Platinum II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | onetimemite5084 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Platinum II | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Poo Poo III |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | Poo Poo III | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Heat: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- Sink: ORDER MID → ORDER ADC
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Kryooo: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- onetimemite5084: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- RogueThrone: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SOLO
- Draiden: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- onetimemite5084 [weak3n_said]: I haven't really seen this guy play, okay, I wish I hadn't watched
- onetimemite5084 [shitter]: worthless and no mic