05/14/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/15/2026, 12:53:51 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 31:02
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2772167687?t=00h21m28s @ 1288s
Balance Analysis
Based on 137 prior matchesORDER
44% win prob
Δ 39
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
56% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Dog Shit I
JUNGLE
Dog Shit III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 104 · 65% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold I
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
Bronze III
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Gold I
ADC
Bronze II
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Silver I
MID
Gold I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 81 · 61% favored
BiggieSlaps
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
GTboss94
OVR
Dog Shit I
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 10 · 51% favored
TramboneKing
OVR
Dog Shit II
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Dreamdemon
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 35 · 55% favored
Jalopy
OVR
Silver I
SUPPORT
Bronze I
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -20.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C | Cupid | 10 | 8 | 1 | -16 | -5.7 | -21 | 128 |
| ADC | i cant read | Ullr | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | -5.0 | 15 | 25 |
| MID | Boolougames | Janus | 2 | 3 | 6 | 56 | -3.3 | 53 | 56 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | GTboss94 | Sobek | 5 | 8 | 2 | -16 | -5.3 | -22 | 13 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Dreamdemon | Ganesha | 0 | 5 | 14 | -3 | -1.1 | -4 | 1 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +26.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Princess Bari | 6 | 6 | 11 | 138 | +2.9 | 141 | 137 |
| ADC | Kryooo C TOP DMG | Hou Yi | 9 | 4 | 7 | 81 | +4.3 | 85 | 69 |
| MID SECONDARY | BiggieSlaps | Vulcan | 5 | 4 | 10 | -13 | +3.8 | -9 | 5 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | TramboneKing | Hua Mulan | 5 | 6 | 10 | -22 | +2.8 | -19 | 10 |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | Bacchus | 3 | 2 | 16 | 52 | +12.8 | 64 | 18 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Silver I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Dreamdemon | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Silver I | Gold I |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Dog Shit I | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | i cant read | Bronze III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | BiggieSlaps | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | TramboneKing | Dog Shit II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Gold I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | Dog Shit I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Dreamdemon: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- Jalopy: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- GTboss94: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- BiggieSlaps: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- TramboneKing: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID