05/11/2026 · Match #6 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/12/2026, 1:27:24 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 32:12
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2769813660?t=03h59m03s @ 14343s
Balance Analysis
Based on 136 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo I
JUNGLE
Dog Shit I
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 88 · 62% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
ADC
Dog Shit I
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 17 · 52% favored
Suhlayer
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Silver II
MID
Silver I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 49 · 57% favored
C1prY
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
SoyZangano
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 22 · 53% favored
TheBugOnYou
OVR
Silver II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber III
SUPPORT
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 18 · 53% favored
Room40
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -22.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | Ullr | 2 | 9 | 2 | -4 | -11.8 | -16 | 127 |
| ADC THIRD | Riptzer | Cernunnos | 7 | 5 | 6 | 165 | -1.0 | 164 | 93 |
| MID | ELLEONTTV | Vulcan | 1 | 10 | 5 | 46 | -4.7 | 41 | 15 |
| SOLO NEW | SoyZangano | The Morrigan | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | -1.6 | 0 | 1 |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe C | Sobek | 5 | 10 | 8 | 1 | -3.7 | -3 | 22 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +30.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Ganesha | 6 | 4 | 16 | 134 | +3.9 | 138 | 136 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Suhlayer | Apollo | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31 | +3.3 | 35 | 6 |
| MID NEW | C1prY | Chiron | 9 | 4 | 13 | 0 | +4.0 | 4 | 0 |
| SOLO | TheBugOnYou TOP DMG | Kukulkan | 12 | 0 | 10 | 43 | +16.0 | 59 | 5 |
| SUPPORT | Room40 C | Yemoja | 3 | 4 | 10 | -9 | +2.9 | -6 | 4 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SoyZangano | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Room40 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | ELLEONTTV | Silver II | Silver I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Amber III | Amber I PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | TheBugOnYou | Silver II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | C1prY | rookie | |
| MID | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo I | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | Suhlayer | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- SoyZangano: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Room40: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Riptzer: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- TheBugOnYou: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Suhlayer: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- C1prY: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC