CHAOS WIN
05/11/2026 · Match #6 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/12/2026, 1:27:24 PM
Kills
16 – 39
MVP · best KDA
TheBugOnYou 12/0/10
Biggest Elo gain
TheBugOnYou +16.0
Biggest Elo drop
Jonhy0700 -11.8
Balance Analysis
Based on 136 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo I
JUNGLE
Dog Shit I
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 88 · 62% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
ADC
Dog Shit I
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 17 · 52% favored
Suhlayer
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Silver II
MID
Silver I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 49 · 57% favored
C1prY
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
SoyZangano
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 22 · 53% favored
TheBugOnYou
OVR
Silver II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber III
SUPPORT
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 18 · 53% favored
Room40
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 16 kills Team Δ -22.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | 2/9/2 | 0.44 | -4 | ▼ -11.8 | -16 | 127 | |
| ADC THIRD | Riptzer | 7/5/6 | 2.60 | 165 | ▼ -1.0 | 164 | 93 | |
| MID | ELLEONTTV | 1/10/5 | 0.60 | 46 | ▼ -4.7 | 41 | 15 | |
| SOLO NEW | SoyZangano | 1/5/6 | 1.40 | 2 | ▼ -1.6 | 0 | 1 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe C | 5/10/8 | 1.30 | 1 | ▼ -3.7 | -3 | 22 |
CHAOS (WIN) 39 kills Team Δ +30.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 6/4/16 | 5.50 | 134 | ▲ +3.9 | 138 | 136 | |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Suhlayer | 9/4/9 | 4.50 | 31 | ▲ +3.3 | 35 | 6 | |
| MID NEW | C1prY | 9/4/13 | 5.50 | 0 | ▲ +4.0 | 4 | 0 | |
| SOLO | TheBugOnYou MVP TOP DMG | 12/0/10 | 22.00 | 43 | ▲ +16.0 | 59 | 5 | |
| SUPPORT | Room40 C | 3/4/10 | 3.25 | -9 | ▲ +2.9 | -6 | 4 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SoyZangano | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Room40 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | ELLEONTTV | Silver II | Silver I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Amber III | Amber I PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | TheBugOnYou | Silver II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | C1prY | rookie | |
| MID | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo I | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | Suhlayer | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- SoyZangano: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Room40: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Riptzer: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- TheBugOnYou: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Suhlayer: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- C1prY: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC