05/08/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/9/2026, 12:57:28 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 34:10
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2767349178?t=01h10m35s @ 4235s
Balance Analysis
Based on 125 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 7
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze I
JUNGLE
Poo Poo III
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber I
JUNGLE
Poo Poo II
ADC
Watertrickster
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo I
ADC
Poo Poo I
MID
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
MID
Bronze III
EVEN
gap 9 · 51% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold III
MID
Bronze I
SOLO
Shmeep
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 35 · 55% favored
OSteg
OVR
Poo Poo I
SOLO
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Poo Poo I
SUPPORT
Bronze I
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 113 · 66% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond I
SUPPORT
Obsidian III
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -25.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | AlphaClaps C | Hun Batz | 16 | 7 | 12 | 29 | -3.5 | 26 | 39 |
| ADC NEW | Watertrickster | Anhur | 4 | 10 | 12 | 0 | -9.7 | -10 | 0 |
| MID THIRD | Weak3n TOP DMG | Merlin | 6 | 6 | 18 | 154 | -3.7 | 150 | 125 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Shmeep | Odin | 4 | 7 | 14 | -10 | -4.9 | -15 | 4 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Ishtar | 6 | 14 | 16 | -4 | -3.8 | -8 | 30 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +29.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C | Thanatos | 24 | 7 | 9 | 11 | +7.1 | 18 | 116 |
| ADC | i cant read | Cupid | 7 | 5 | 16 | -3 | +6.1 | 3 | 19 |
| MID | ItzStallone | Zeus | 6 | 11 | 13 | 62 | +2.4 | 65 | 26 |
| SOLO THIRD | OSteg | Morgan Le Fay | 5 | 5 | 18 | -1 | +7.4 | 6 | 53 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Atlas | 2 | 9 | 28 | 137 | +6.4 | 144 | 87 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Poo Poo I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Shmeep | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Diamond I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Amber I | Amber I |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Poo Poo I | Bronze I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Poo Poo I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Gold III | Gold III |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Bronze I | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Watertrickster | rookie | |
What changed vs actual draft
- Shmeep: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- AlphaClaps: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Watertrickster: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- ItzStallone: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC