05/08/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/9/2026, 12:41:03 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 37:50
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2767349178?t=00h19m19s @ 1159s
Balance Analysis
Based on 124 prior matchesORDER
56% win prob
Δ 43
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
44% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Gold I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 77 · 61% favored
Bioskyz
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo II
ADC
Poo Poo II
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber II
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
OSteg
OVR
Poo Poo II
MID
Dog Shit II
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 53 · 58% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold II
MID
Bronze I
SOLO
hassasin0308
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
TramboneKing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond I
SUPPORT
Diamond I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 140 · 69% favored
Drewpossibly
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +26.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | Princess Bari | 11 | 8 | 9 | 148 | +5.4 | 154 | 124 |
| ADC | i cant read | Apollo | 8 | 9 | 9 | -7 | +4.0 | -3 | 18 |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg | Discordia | 4 | 9 | 15 | -5 | +4.3 | -1 | 52 |
| SOLO NEW | hassasin0308 | Gilgamesh | 2 | 5 | 12 | 0 | +6.9 | 7 | 0 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | Charon | 3 | 8 | 14 | 131 | +5.7 | 137 | 86 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -24.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Bioskyz | Awilix | 13 | 8 | 15 | 0 | -5.3 | -5 | 0 |
| ADC THIRD | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Artemis | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | -11.2 | -4 | 29 |
| MID | ItzStallone C | Zeus | 12 | 5 | 14 | 66 | -3.6 | 62 | 25 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | TramboneKing | Jormungandr | 6 | 4 | 10 | -19 | -2.2 | -22 | 9 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Drewpossibly | Geb | 1 | 3 | 20 | 0 | -1.9 | -2 | 0 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | hassasin0308 | rookie | |
| MID | TramboneKing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber II | Bronze I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Drewpossibly | rookie | |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Gold II | Gold III |
| MID | Bioskyz | rookie | |
| SOLO | OSteg | Poo Poo II | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Diamond I | Diamond I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- hassasin0308: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- TramboneKing: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER MID
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- ItzStallone: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- Drewpossibly: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Bioskyz: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS MID