ORDER WIN
05/08/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/9/2026, 12:41:03 PM
Kills
28 – 39
MVP · best KDA
Drewpossibly 1/3/20
Biggest Elo gain
hassasin0308 +6.9
Biggest Elo drop
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 -11.2
Balance Analysis
Based on 124 prior matchesORDER
56% win prob
Δ 43
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
44% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Gold I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 77 · 61% favored
Bioskyz
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo II
ADC
Poo Poo II
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber II
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
OSteg
OVR
Poo Poo II
MID
Dog Shit II
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 53 · 58% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold II
MID
Bronze I
SOLO
hassasin0308
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
TramboneKing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond I
SUPPORT
Diamond I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 140 · 69% favored
Drewpossibly
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 28 kills Team Δ +26.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | 11/8/9 | 2.50 | 148 | ▲ +5.4 | 154 | 124 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 8/9/9 | 1.89 | -7 | ▲ +4.0 | -3 | 18 | |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg | 4/9/15 | 2.11 | -5 | ▲ +4.3 | -1 | 52 | |
| SOLO NEW | hassasin0308 | 2/5/12 | 2.80 | 0 | ▲ +6.9 | 7 | 0 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | 3/8/14 | 2.13 | 131 | ▲ +5.7 | 137 | 86 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 39 kills Team Δ -24.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Bioskyz | 13/8/15 | 3.50 | 0 | ▼ -5.3 | -5 | 0 | |
| ADC THIRD | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | 7/9/8 | 1.67 | 7 | ▼ -11.2 | -4 | 29 | |
| MID | ItzStallone C | 12/5/14 | 5.20 | 66 | ▼ -3.6 | 62 | 25 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | TramboneKing | 6/4/10 | 4.00 | -19 | ▼ -2.2 | -22 | 9 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | Drewpossibly MVP | 1/3/20 | 7.00 | 0 | ▼ -1.9 | -2 | 0 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | hassasin0308 | rookie | |
| MID | TramboneKing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber II | Bronze I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Drewpossibly | rookie | |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Gold II | Gold III |
| MID | Bioskyz | rookie | |
| SOLO | OSteg | Poo Poo II | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Diamond I | Diamond I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- hassasin0308: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- TramboneKing: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER MID
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- ItzStallone: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- Drewpossibly: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Bioskyz: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS MID