04/16/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 7:46:27 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 23:18
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2749829322?t=0h23m16s @ 1396s
Balance Analysis
Based on 8 prior matchesORDER
51% win prob
Δ 5
Balanced
CHAOS
49% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Xuffer
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
DatsBogus
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Weak3n
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 12 · 52% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Caniac Combo With Extra Toast
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 23 · 53% favored
KingSaber
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
SpideryBacchus9
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -27.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Xuffer C | Awilix | 5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | -5.9 | -6 | 0 |
| ADC NEW | RogueThrone | Cupid | 6 | 6 | 2 | -4 | -4.1 | -8 | 2 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Agni | 1 | 8 | 8 | 5 | -5.8 | -1 | 8 |
| SOLO NEW | Caniac Combo With Extra Toast | Pele | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | -9.3 | -9 | 0 |
| SUPPORT NEW | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Anubis | 2 | 11 | 8 | 5 | -2.7 | 3 | 1 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +30.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo TOP DMG | Ullr | 14 | 3 | 17 | -5 | +4.9 | 0 | 4 |
| ADC NEW | DatsBogus | Danzaburou | 5 | 6 | 14 | 0 | +1.8 | 2 | 0 |
| MID SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 | Princess Bari | 12 | 5 | 14 | -31 | +2.5 | -29 | 8 |
| SOLO | KingSaber | Mordred | 6 | 0 | 10 | 23 | +8.0 | 31 | 4 |
| SUPPORT NEW | SpideryBacchus9 C | Sylvanus | 2 | 1 | 19 | -4 | +13.3 | 9 | 1 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | KingSaber | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Caniac Combo With Extra Toast | rookie | |
| SOLO | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | DatsBogus | rookie | |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Xuffer | rookie | |
| ADC | Kryooo | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | RogueThrone | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | SpideryBacchus9 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- Caniac Combo With Extra Toast: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- DatsBogus: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- KingSaber: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Xuffer: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SOLO
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC