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04/17/2026 · Match #14 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED

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CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2749829322?t=0h23m16s @ 1396s

Balance Analysis

Based on 11 prior matches
ORDER
4
52% win prob
Δ 12
Balanced
CHAOS
-7
48% win prob

ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -55.9

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
MID OFF-ROLE Weak3n Agni 1 8 8 1 -8.8 -8 11
ADC NEW RogueThrone Cupid 6 6 2 1 -12.1 -11 4
SUPPORT NEW [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 Anubis 2 11 8 19 -11.7 7 1
SOLO NEW Caniac Combo With Extra Toast Pele 1 5 2 0 -11.4 -11 0
JUNGLE NEW Xuffer Awilix 5 9 4 0 -11.8 -12 0

CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +101.3

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
JUNGLE Kryooo Ullr 14 3 17 -4 +20.5 17 7
SUPPORT NEW SpideryBacchus9 Sylvanus 2 1 19 -14 +24.8 11 1
SOLO KingSaber Mordred 6 0 10 47 +24.8 71 6
ADC NEW DatsBogus Danzaburou 5 6 14 0 +13.8 14 0
MID SECONDARY Jonhy0700 Princess Bari 12 5 14 -66 +17.3 -49 10

Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
-1
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
-2
50% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerElo
MID Jonhy0700 -66
ADC DatsBogus rookie
SUPPORT [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 19
SOLO KingSaber 47
JUNGLE Kryooo -4

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerElo
MID Weak3n 1
ADC RogueThrone 1
SUPPORT SpideryBacchus9 -14
SOLO Caniac Combo With Extra Toast rookie
JUNGLE Xuffer rookie

What changed vs actual draft