05/06/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/7/2026, 1:27:14 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 22:52
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2765898749?t=01h41m30s @ 6090s
Balance Analysis
Based on 114 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 15
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Sink
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 19 · 53% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Gold III
JUNGLE
Bronze II
ADC
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze II
ADC
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 22 · 53% favored
leoorchild
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze I
MID
Poo Poo I
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 29 · 54% favored
Edgewing
OVR
Dog Shit II
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Silver III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
timerrr
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond I
SUPPORT
Diamond I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 81 · 61% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond II
SUPPORT
Silver I PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -21.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Sink | Ratatoskr | 2 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -3.0 | 15 | 5 |
| ADC SECONDARY | AlphaClaps | Medusa | 3 | 11 | 3 | 26 | -5.2 | 21 | 33 |
| MID THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Agni | 3 | 6 | 4 | 31 | -4.9 | 26 | 106 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | DeltaJulz613 C | Cabrakan | 2 | 3 | 3 | 38 | -1.6 | 36 | 34 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Aphrodite | 2 | 10 | 5 | 133 | -6.9 | 126 | 79 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +31.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Kryooo TOP DMG | Pele | 17 | 3 | 9 | 62 | +4.3 | 67 | 57 |
| ADC | leoorchild | Rama | 9 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +2.9 | 11 | 3 |
| MID SECONDARY | Edgewing C | Discordia | 6 | 2 | 19 | -22 | +5.7 | -16 | 21 |
| SOLO NEW | timerrr | Artio | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | +1.9 | 2 | 0 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Sylvanus | 4 | 1 | 23 | 122 | +16.6 | 138 | 114 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Edgewing | Dog Shit II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Sink | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Bronze II | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | DeltaJulz613 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | timerrr | rookie | |
| MID | leoorchild | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Gold III | Silver I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Diamond I | Diamond I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: ORDER MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- AlphaClaps: ORDER ADC → ORDER MID
- Sink: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- Edgewing: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- DeltaJulz613: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- leoorchild: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- timerrr: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC