CHAOS WIN
05/05/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/6/2026, 7:34:28 PM
Kills
26 – 32
MVP · best KDA
Weak3n 11/2/8
Biggest Elo gain
Weak3n +8.1
Biggest Elo drop
KingBopBop -10.4
Balance Analysis
Based on 108 prior matchesORDER
40% win prob
Δ 71
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
60% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 66% Order / 34% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
SnixJ
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 18 · 53% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze I
JUNGLE
Amber I
ADC
KingBopBop
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Sink
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 29 · 54% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold III
MID
Bronze I
SOLO
Tametoy
OVR
Bronze I
SOLO
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 14 · 52% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze I
SOLO
Amber II
SUPPORT
edith
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 112 · 66% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Platinum I
SUPPORT
Platinum I
ORDER (LOSS) 26 kills Team Δ -22.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | SnixJ | 12/7/7 | 2.71 | -8 | ▼ -2.6 | -11 | 2 | |
| ADC NEW | KingBopBop | 2/7/3 | 0.71 | 5 | ▼ -10.4 | -5 | 1 | |
| MID NEW | Sink | 9/5/5 | 2.80 | 0 | ▼ -2.5 | -2 | 0 | |
| SOLO | Tametoy C TOP DMG | 1/5/8 | 1.80 | 32 | ▼ -1.7 | 31 | 13 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | edith | 2/8/7 | 1.13 | -4 | ▼ -5.2 | -9 | 1 |
CHAOS (WIN) 32 kills Team Δ +24.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Kryooo C | 11/6/8 | 3.17 | 31 | ▲ +2.7 | 34 | 51 | |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Weak3n MVP | 11/2/8 | 9.50 | 143 | ▲ +8.1 | 151 | 108 | |
| MID | ItzStallone | 8/5/8 | 3.20 | 63 | ▲ +2.6 | 66 | 24 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 | 2/6/44 | 7.67 | 33 | ▲ +7.5 | 41 | 100 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 0/7/19 | 2.71 | 109 | ▲ +3.1 | 112 | 73 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | KingBopBop | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Gold III | Gold III |
| MID | Sink | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Tametoy | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SnixJ | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | edith | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Platinum I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Tametoy: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- KingBopBop: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SOLO
- ItzStallone: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- SnixJ: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS JUNGLE
- edith: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO