05/05/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/6/2026, 7:34:28 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 26:32
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2765130310?t=01h33m42s @ 5622s
Balance Analysis
Based on 108 prior matchesORDER
40% win prob
Δ 71
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
60% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
SnixJ
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 18 · 53% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze I
JUNGLE
Amber I
ADC
KingBopBop
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Sink
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 29 · 54% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold III
MID
Bronze I
SOLO
Tametoy
OVR
Bronze I
SOLO
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 14 · 52% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze I
SOLO
Amber II
SUPPORT
edith
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 112 · 66% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Platinum I
SUPPORT
Platinum I
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -22.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | SnixJ | Awilix | 12 | 7 | 7 | -8 | -2.6 | -11 | 2 |
| ADC NEW | KingBopBop | Anhur | 2 | 7 | 3 | 5 | -10.4 | -5 | 1 |
| MID NEW | Sink | Vulcan | 9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | -2.5 | -2 | 0 |
| SOLO | Tametoy C TOP DMG | Thor | 1 | 5 | 8 | 32 | -1.7 | 31 | 13 |
| SUPPORT NEW | edith | Aphrodite | 2 | 8 | 7 | -4 | -5.2 | -9 | 1 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +24.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Kryooo C | Nemesis | 11 | 6 | 8 | 31 | +2.7 | 34 | 51 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Apollo | 11 | 2 | 8 | 143 | +8.1 | 151 | 108 |
| MID | ItzStallone | Merlin | 8 | 5 | 8 | 63 | +2.6 | 66 | 24 |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Mordred | 2 | 6 | 44 | 33 | +7.5 | 41 | 100 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Ganesha | 0 | 7 | 19 | 109 | +3.1 | 112 | 73 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | KingBopBop | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Gold III | Gold III |
| MID | Sink | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Tametoy | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SnixJ | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | edith | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Platinum I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Tametoy: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- KingBopBop: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SOLO
- ItzStallone: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- SnixJ: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS JUNGLE
- edith: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO